E3ME-FTT: Difference between revisions

From IAMC-Documentation
Jump to navigation Jump to search
No edit summary
No edit summary
 
(41 intermediate revisions by 2 users not shown)
Line 1: Line 1:
{{ModelTemplate
{{ModelTemplate}}
{{ModelInfoTemplate
|Name=E3ME-FTT-GENIE
|Version=6.2
|ModelLink=https://www.e3me.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/E3ME-Technical-Manual-v6.1-onlineSML.pdf
|participation=full
|processState=submitted
}}
}}
{{ModelInfoTemplate
{{InstitutionTemplate
|abbr=CE
|institution=Cambridge Econometrics
|link=https://www.camecon.com/
|country=United Kingdom
}}
{{InstitutionTemplate
|abbr=UNEXE
|institution=Global System Institute, University of Exeter
|link=https://www.exeter.ac.uk/gsi/
|country=United Kingdom
}}
{{InstitutionTemplate
|abbr=OU
|institution=School of Environment, Earth and Ecosystems Sciences, The Open University
|link=http://www.open.ac.uk/science/environment-earth-ecosystems/
|country=United Kingdom
}}
}}
{{ScopeMethodTemplate
{{ScopeMethodTemplate
|ModelTypeOption=Integrated assessment model
|GeographicalScopeOption=Global
|Objective=E3ME is a macro-econometric model designed to assess global policy challenges. It is widely used for policy assessment, forecasting and research purposes.
|SolutionConcept=Econometric
|SolutionMethodOption=Simulation
|BaseYear=2010
|TimeSteps=yearly
|Horizon=2100
|Nr=61
|Region=BEL; DNK; DEU; GRC; ESP; FRA; IRL; ITA; LUX; NLD; AUT; PRT; FIN; SWE; GBR; CZE; EST; CYP; LVA; LTU; HUN; MLT; POL; SVN; SVK; BGR; ROU; NOR; CHE; ISL; HRV; TUR; MKD; USA; JPN; CAN; AUS; NZL; RUS; REST OF ANNEX I; CHN; IND; MEX; BRA; ARG; COL; REST OF LATIN AMERICA; KOR; TWN; IDN; ASEAN; OPEC; REST OF WORLD; UKR; SAU; NGA; ZAF; REST OF AFRICA; AFRICA OPEC; MYS; KAZ
|SpatialText=The major economies are represented individually and all other regions are aggregated based on similarities.
|TimeDiscountingTypeOption=Discount rate exogenous
|PoliciesOption=Emission tax; Emission pricing; Cap and trade; Fuel taxes; Fuel subsidies; Feed-in-tariff; Portfolio standard; Capacity targets; Emission standards; Energy efficiency standards
|Policies=Phase out regulations
}}
}}
{{Socio-economicTemplate
{{Socio-economicTemplate
|PopulationOption=Yes (exogenous)
|PopulationAgeStructureOption=Yes (exogenous)
|EducationLevelOption=Yes (exogenous)
|GDPOption=Yes (endogenous)
|IncomeDistributionOption=Yes (endogenous)
|EmploymentRateOption=Yes (endogenous)
|LaborProductivityOption=Yes (endogenous)
|TotalFactorProductivityOption=Yes (endogenous)
|AutonomousEnergyEfficiencyImprovementsOption=Yes (endogenous)
}}
}}
{{Macro-economyTemplate
{{Macro-economyTemplate
|TradeOption=Coal; Oil; Gas; Non-energy goods
|Trade=All other major traded economic activities (70 economic sectors); Services
|CostMeasureOption=GDP loss; Welfare loss; Consumption loss
|CategorizationByGroupOption=Income; Age; Gender; Education level
|InstitutionalAndPoliticalFactorsOption=Early retirement of capital allowed; Interest rates differentiated by country/region; Technology costs differentiated by country/region; Technological change differentiated by country/region; Behavioural change differentiated by country/region
|CoalRUOption=Yes (supply curve)
|ConventionalOilRUOption=Yes (supply curve)
|UnconventionalOilRUOption=Yes (supply curve)
|ConventionalGasRUOption=Yes (supply curve)
|UnconventionalGasRUOption=Yes (supply curve)
|UraniumRUOption=Yes (supply curve)
|BioenergyRUOption=Yes (supply curve)
|RawMaterialsRUOption=Yes (process model)
|IndustryESOption=Yes (physical & economic)
|EnergyESOption=Yes (physical & economic)
|TransportationESOption=Yes (physical & economic)
|ResidentialAndCommercialESOption=Yes (physical & economic)
|AgricultureESOption=Yes (economic)
|ForestryESOption=Yes (economic)
|EconomicSector=Services - Yes (Economic); Services (physical); Construction; Manufactures
|EnergyConversionTechnologyTCOption=Endogenous technological change
|EnergyEnd-useTCOption=Endogenous technological change
|TechnologicalChange=Technological progress indicators are used to mimic learning by doing
}}
}}
{{EnergyTemplate
{{EnergyTemplate
|Behaviour=For specific sectors, FTT is used to estimate investor decision making regarding technology choices.
|EnergyTechnologyChoiceOption=Logit choice model
|EnergyTechnologyChoiceText=Only for power generation sector, residential heat passenger vehicles and iron and steel industry.
|EnergyTechnologySubstitutabilityOption=Mixed high and low substitutability
|EnergyTechnologyDeploymentOption=Expansion and decline constraints; System integration constraints
|ElectricityTechnologyOption=Coal w/o CCS; Coal w/ CCS; Gas w/o CCS; Gas w/ CCS; Oil w/o CCS; Bioenergy w/o CCS; Bioenergy w/ CCS; Geothermal power; Nuclear power; Solar power-CSP; Wind power-onshore; Wind power-offshore; Hydroelectric power; Ocean power
|ElectricityTechnology=Solar power PV
|HeatGenerationOption=Coal heat; Natural gas heat; Oil heat; Biomass heat; Solarthermal heat; CHP (coupled heat and power)
|ElectricityGIOption=Yes (aggregate)
|PassengerTransportationOption=Light Duty Vehicles (LDVs); Electric LDVs; Hybrid LDVs; Gasoline LDVs; Diesel LDVs
|PassengerTransportation=Gasoline Two-wheelers; LPG/CNG LDVs
|IndustryOption=Steel production
|ResidentialAndCommercialOption=Space heating
|ResidentialAndCommercial=Water heating
}}
}}
{{Land-useTemplate
{{Land-useTemplate
}}
|AgricultureAndForestryDemandsOption=Agriculture food
{{OtherResourcesTemplate
}}
}}
{{EmissionClimateTemplate
{{EmissionClimateTemplate
|GHGOption=CO2 fossil fuels; CO2 cement; CH4 energy; CH4 other; N2O energy; N2O other; CFCs; HFCs; SF6; PFCs
|PollutantOption=CO energy; CO other; NOx energy; NOx other; VOC energy; VOC other; SO2 energy; SO2 other; BC energy; BC other; NH3 energy; NH3 other
|Pollutant=PM energy; PM other
|CarbonDioxideRemovalOption=Bioenergy with CCS
|Co-LinkagesOption=Energy security: Fossil fuel imports & exports (region); Air pollution & health: Health impacts of air Pollution
}}
}}

Latest revision as of 17:44, 26 August 2020

The reference card is a clearly defined description of model features. The numerous options have been organized into a limited amount of default and model specific (non default) options. In addition some features are described by a short clarifying text.

Legend:

  • not implemented
  • implemented
  • implemented (not default option)

A page refresh may be needed after modifying data.


About

Name and version

E3ME-FTT-GENIE 6.2

Institution

Global System Institute, University of Exeter (UNEXE), United Kingdom, https://www.exeter.ac.uk/gsi/., School of Environment, Earth and Ecosystems Sciences, The Open University (OU), United Kingdom, http://www.open.ac.uk/science/environment-earth-ecosystems/., Cambridge Econometrics (CE), United Kingdom, https://www.camecon.com/.

Documentation

E3ME-FTT documentation consists of a referencecard and detailed model documentation

Process state

submitted





Model scope and methods

Model documentation: Model_scope_and_methods - E3ME-FTT

Model type

  • Integrated assessment model
  • Energy system model
  • CGE
  • CBA-integrated assessment model

Geographical scope

  • Global
  • Regional

Objective

E3ME is a macro-econometric model designed to assess global policy challenges. It is widely used for policy assessment, forecasting and research purposes.

Solution concept

  • Partial equilibrium (price elastic demand)
  • Partial equilibrium (fixed demand)
  • General equilibrium (closed economy)
  • Econometric

Solution horizon

  • Recursive dynamic (myopic)
  • Intertemporal optimization (foresight)

Solution method

  • Simulation
  • Optimization


Temporal dimension

Base year:2010, time steps:yearly, horizon: 2100

Spatial dimension

Number of regions:61

  1. USA
  2. CAN
  3. CHN
  4. IND
  5. BRA
  6. BEL
  7. DNK
  8. DEU
  9. GRC
  10. ESP
  11. FRA
  12. IRL
  13. ITA
  14. LUX
  15. NLD
  16. AUT
  17. PRT
  18. FIN
  19. SWE
  20. GBR
  21. CZE
  22. EST
  23. CYP
  24. LVA
  25. LTU
  26. HUN
  27. MLT
  28. POL
  29. SVN
  30. SVK
  31. BGR
  32. ROU
  33. NOR
  34. CHE
  35. ISL
  36. HRV
  37. TUR
  38. MKD
  39. JPN
  40. AUS
  41. NZL
  42. RUS
  43. REST OF ANNEX I
  44. MEX
  45. ARG
  46. COL
  47. REST OF LATIN AMERICA
  48. KOR
  49. TWN
  50. IDN
  51. ASEAN
  52. OPEC
  53. REST OF WORLD
  54. UKR
  55. SAU
  56. NGA
  57. ZAF
  58. REST OF AFRICA
  59. AFRICA OPEC
  60. MYS
  61. KAZ

Note: The major economies are represented individually and all other regions are aggregated based on similarities.

Time discounting type

  • Discount rate exogenous
  • Discount rate endogenous

Policies

  • Emission tax
  • Emission pricing
  • Cap and trade
  • Fuel taxes
  • Fuel subsidies
  • Feed-in-tariff
  • Portfolio standard
  • Capacity targets
  • Emission standards
  • Energy efficiency standards
  • Agricultural producer subsidies
  • Agricultural consumer subsidies
  • Land protection
  • Pricing carbon stocks
  • Phase out regulations


Socio-economic drivers

Model documentation: Socio-economic drivers - E3ME-FTT

Population

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Population age structure

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Education level

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Urbanization rate

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

GDP

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Income distribution

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Employment rate

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Labor productivity

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Total factor productivity

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)

Autonomous energy efficiency improvements

  • Yes (exogenous)
  • Yes (endogenous)



Macro-economy

Model documentation: Macro-economy - E3ME-FTT

Economic sector

Industry

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Energy

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Transportation

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Residential and commercial

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Agriculture

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Forestry

  • Yes (physical)
  • Yes (economic)
  • Yes (physical & economic)

Other economic sector

  • Services - Yes (Economic)
  • Services (physical)
  • Construction
  • Manufactures

Macro-economy

Trade

  • Coal
  • Oil
  • Gas
  • Uranium
  • Electricity
  • Bioenergy crops
  • Food crops
  • Capital
  • Emissions permits
  • Non-energy goods
  • All other major traded economic activities (70 economic sectors)
  • Services

Cost measures

  • GDP loss
  • Welfare loss
  • Consumption loss
  • Area under MAC
  • Energy system cost mark-up

Categorization by group

  • Income
  • Urban - rural
  • Technology adoption
  • Age
  • Gender
  • Education level
  • Household size

Institutional and political factors

  • Early retirement of capital allowed
  • Interest rates differentiated by country/region
  • Regional risk factors included
  • Technology costs differentiated by country/region
  • Technological change differentiated by country/region
  • Behavioural change differentiated by country/region
  • Constraints on cross country financial transfers

Resource use

Coal

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Conventional Oil

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Unconventional Oil

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Conventional Gas

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Unconventional Gas

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Uranium

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Bioenergy

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Water

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Raw Materials

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)

Land

  • Yes (fixed)
  • Yes (supply curve)
  • Yes (process model)


Technological change

Energy conversion technologies

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change

Energy End-use

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change

Material Use

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change

Agriculture (tc)

  • No technological change
  • Exogenous technological change
  • Endogenous technological change

Other technological change

  • Technological progress indicators are used to mimic learning by doing


Energy

Model documentation: Energy - E3ME-FTT

Behaviour

For specific sectors, FTT is used to estimate investor decision making regarding technology choices.

Energy technology substitution

Energy technology choice

  • No discrete technology choices
  • Logit choice model
  • Production function
  • Linear choice (lowest cost)
  • Lowest cost with adjustment penalties

Note: Only for power generation sector, residential heat passenger vehicles and iron and steel industry.

Energy technology substitutability

  • Mostly high substitutability
  • Mostly low substitutability
  • Mixed high and low substitutability

Energy technology deployment

  • Expansion and decline constraints
  • System integration constraints

Energy

Electricity technologies

  • Coal w/o CCS
  • Coal w/ CCS
  • Gas w/o CCS
  • Gas w/ CCS
  • Oil w/o CCS
  • Oil w/ CCS
  • Bioenergy w/o CCS
  • Bioenergy w/ CCS
  • Geothermal power
  • Nuclear power
  • Solar power
  • Solar power-central PV
  • Solar power-distributed PV
  • Solar power-CSP
  • Wind power
  • Wind power-onshore
  • Wind power-offshore
  • Hydroelectric power
  • Ocean power
  • Solar power PV

Hydrogen production

  • Coal to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Coal to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Natural gas to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Natural gas to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Oil to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Oil to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Biomass to hydrogen w/o CCS
  • Biomass to hydrogen w/ CCS
  • Nuclear thermochemical hydrogen
  • Solar thermochemical hydrogen
  • Electrolysis

Refined liquids

  • Coal to liquids w/o CCS
  • Coal to liquids w/ CCS
  • Gas to liquids w/o CCS
  • Gas to liquids w/ CCS
  • Bioliquids w/o CCS
  • Bioliquids w/ CCS
  • Oil refining

Refined gases

  • Coal to gas w/o CCS
  • Coal to gas w/ CCS
  • Oil to gas w/o CCS
  • Oil to gas w/ CCS
  • Biomass to gas w/o CCS
  • Biomass to gas w/ CCS

Heat generation

  • Coal heat
  • Natural gas heat
  • Oil heat
  • Biomass heat
  • Geothermal heat
  • Solarthermal heat
  • CHP (coupled heat and power)

Grid Infra Structure

Electricity

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

Gas

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

Heat

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

CO2

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)

Hydrogen

  • Yes (aggregate)
  • Yes (spatially explicit)


Energy end-use technologies

Passenger transportation

  • Passenger trains
  • Buses
  • Light Duty Vehicles (LDVs)
  • Electric LDVs
  • Hydrogen LDVs
  • Hybrid LDVs
  • Gasoline LDVs
  • Diesel LDVs
  • Passenger aircrafts
  • Gasoline Two-wheelers
  • LPG/CNG LDVs

Freight transportation

  • Freight trains
  • Heavy duty vehicles
  • Freight aircrafts
  • Freight ships

Industry

  • Steel production
  • Aluminium production
  • Cement production
  • Petrochemical production
  • Paper production
  • Plastics production
  • Pulp production

Residential and commercial

  • Space heating
  • Space cooling
  • Cooking
  • Refrigeration
  • Washing
  • Lighting
  • Water heating


Land-use

Model documentation: Land-use - E3ME-FTT

Land cover

  • Cropland
  • Cropland irrigated
  • Cropland food crops
  • Cropland feed crops
  • Cropland energy crops
  • Forest
  • Managed forest
  • Natural forest
  • Pasture
  • Shrubland
  • Built-up area

Agriculture and forestry demands

  • Agriculture food
  • Agriculture food crops
  • Agriculture food livestock
  • Agriculture feed
  • Agriculture feed crops
  • Agriculture feed livestock
  • Agriculture non-food
  • Agriculture non-food crops
  • Agriculture non-food livestock
  • Agriculture bioenergy
  • Agriculture residues
  • Forest industrial roundwood
  • Forest fuelwood
  • Forest residues

Agricultural commodities

  • Wheat
  • Rice
  • Other coarse grains
  • Oilseeds
  • Sugar crops
  • Ruminant meat
  • Non-ruminant meat and eggs
  • Dairy products



Emission, climate and impacts

Model documentation: Emissions - E3ME-FTTClimate - E3ME-FTTNon-climate sustainability dimension - E3ME-FTT

Greenhouse gases

  • CO2 fossil fuels
  • CO2 cement
  • CO2 land use
  • CH4 energy
  • CH4 land use
  • CH4 other
  • N2O energy
  • N2O land use
  • N2O other
  • CFCs
  • HFCs
  • SF6
  • PFCs

Pollutants

  • CO energy
  • CO land use
  • CO other
  • NOx energy
  • NOx land use
  • NOx other
  • VOC energy
  • VOC land use
  • VOC other
  • SO2 energy
  • SO2 land use
  • SO2 other
  • BC energy
  • BC land use
  • BC other
  • OC energy
  • OC land use
  • OC other
  • NH3 energy
  • NH3 land use
  • NH3 other
  • PM energy
  • PM other

Climate indicators

  • Concentration: CO2
  • Concentration: CH4
  • Concentration: N2O
  • Concentration: Kyoto gases
  • Radiative forcing: CO2
  • Radiative forcing: CH4
  • Radiative forcing: N2O
  • Radiative forcing: F-gases
  • Radiative forcing: Kyoto gases
  • Radiative forcing: aerosols
  • Radiative forcing: land albedo
  • Radiative forcing: AN3A
  • Radiative forcing: total
  • Temperature change
  • Sea level rise
  • Ocean acidification

Carbon dioxide removal

  • Bioenergy with CCS
  • Reforestation
  • Afforestation
  • Soil carbon enhancement
  • Direct air capture
  • Enhanced weathering

Climate change impacts

  • Agriculture
  • Energy supply
  • Energy demand
  • Economic output
  • Built capital
  • Inequality

Co-Linkages

  • Energy security: Fossil fuel imports & exports (region)
  • Energy access: Household energy consumption
  • Air pollution & health: Source-based aerosol emissions
  • Air pollution & health: Health impacts of air Pollution
  • Food access
  • Water availability
  • Biodiversity