GEM-E3: Difference between revisions
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{{ModelTemplate}} | |||
{{ModelInfoTemplate | |||
|Name=GEM-E3 | |||
|Version=_092019 | |||
|ModelLink=https://ec.europa.eu/clima/sites/clima/files/strategies/analysis/models/docs/gem_e3_long_en.pdf | |||
|participation=full | |||
|processState=published | |||
}} | |||
{{InstitutionTemplate | |||
|abbr=ICCS | |||
|institution=Institute of Communication And Computer Systems | |||
|link=https://www.iccs.gr/en/ | |||
|country=Greece | |||
}} | |||
{{ScopeMethodTemplate | |||
|ModelTypeOption=CGE | |||
|GeographicalScopeOption=Global | |||
|Objective=The GEM-E3 model is a multi-regional, multi-sectoral, recursive dynamic hybrid computable general equilibrium (CGE) model which provides details on the macro-economy and its interaction with the environment and the energy system. It incorporates micro-economic mechanisms and institutional features within a consistent macro-economic framework. | |||
|SolutionConceptOption=General equilibrium (closed economy) | |||
|SolutionHorizonOption=Recursive dynamic (myopic) | |||
|SolutionMethodOption=Optimization | |||
|BaseYear=2014 | |||
|TimeSteps=5 | |||
|Horizon=2100 | |||
|Nr=46 | |||
|PoliciesOption=Emission tax; Emission pricing; Cap and trade; Fuel taxes; Fuel subsidies; Feed-in-tariff; Portfolio standard; Capacity targets | |||
|Concept=General equilibrium | |||
|PolicyImplementation=Taxes, Permits trading, Subsidies, Energy efficiency standards, CO2 standards, Emission reduction targets, Trade agreements. | |||
}} | |||
{{Socio-economicTemplate | |||
|PopulationOption=Yes (exogenous) | |||
|EducationLevelOption=Yes (endogenous) | |||
|GDPOption=Yes (endogenous) | |||
|EmploymentRateOption=Yes (endogenous) | |||
|LaborProductivityOption=Yes (exogenous) | |||
|TotalFactorProductivityOption=Yes (exogenous) | |||
|AutonomousEnergyEfficiencyImprovementsOption=Yes (exogenous) | |||
|ExogenousDriverOption=Total Factor Productivity; Labour Productivity; Capital Technical progress; Energy Technical progress; Materials Technical progress | |||
|ExogenousDriver=Active population growth; Learning-by-doing; | |||
|DevelopmentOption=GDP per capita; Labour participation rate | |||
}} | |||
{{Macro-economyTemplate | |||
|TradeOption=Coal; Oil; Gas; Bioenergy crops; Food crops; Capital; Emissions permits | |||
|Trade=All other major traded economic activities (40 economic sectors); Energy goods; | |||
|TradeText=The model links all countries and sectors through endogenous bilateral trade transactions. | |||
|CostMeasureOption=GDP loss; Welfare loss | |||
|CostMeasure=Equivalent Variation; | |||
|CategorizationByGroupOption=Technology adoption | |||
|CoalRUOption=Yes (fixed) | |||
|UnconventionalOilRUOption=Yes (fixed) | |||
|ConventionalGasRUOption=Yes (fixed) | |||
|UnconventionalGasRUOption=Yes (fixed) | |||
|BioenergyRUOption=Yes (process model) | |||
|RawMaterialsRUOption=Yes (process model) | |||
|EconomicSector=other; | |||
|EconomicSectorText=GEM-E3 represents 29 sectors: | |||
Agriculture,Coal,Crude Oil,Oil,Gas,Electricity supply,Ferrous and non ferrous metals,Chemical Products,Other energy intensive,Electric Goods,Transport equipment,Other Equipment Goods,Consumer Goods Industries,Construction,Transport (Air),Transport (Land),Transport (Water),Market Services,Non Market Services,Coal fired,Oil fired,Gas fired,Nuclear,Biomass,Hydro electric,Wind,PV,CCS coal,CCS Gas | |||
|MaterialUseTCOption=Exogenous technological change | |||
|TechnologicalChange=Other: Total factor productivity, Labour productivity, Capital productivity are all exogenous. Semi-endogenous TFP for clean technologies based on learning by doing and learning by research; | |||
|EconomicSectorOption=Agriculture; Industry; Energy; Transport; Services | |||
}} | |||
{{EnergyTemplate | |||
|EnergyTechnologySubstitutabilityOption=Mostly high substitutability | |||
|EnergyTechnologyDeploymentOption=Expansion and decline constraints | |||
|ElectricityTechnologyOption=Coal w/ CCS; Gas w/o CCS; Gas w/ CCS; Oil w/o CCS; Bioenergy w/o CCS; Geothermal power; Nuclear power; Solar power; Solar power-central PV; Wind power; Wind power-onshore; Wind power-offshore; Hydroelectric power | |||
|PassengerTransportationOption=Buses; Electric LDVs; Hybrid LDVs; Gasoline LDVs; Passenger trains; Passenger aircrafts | |||
|FreightTransportationOption=Freight trains; Heavy duty vehicles; Freight aircrafts; Freight ships | |||
|IndustryOption=Steel production; Aluminium production; Cement production; Petrochemical production; Paper production; Pulp production | |||
|Industry=Other: Equipment goods, Non-metalic minnerals, Consumer goods industries; | |||
|ResidentialAndCommercialOption=Cooking; Space heating | |||
|ResourceUseOption=Coal; Oil; Gas; Biomass | |||
|GridInfrastructureOption=Electricity | |||
|TechnologySubstitutionOption=Discrete technology choices | |||
|EnergyServiceSectorOption=Transportation; Industry; Residential and commercial | |||
}} | |||
{{Land-useTemplate | |||
|AgriculturalCommoditiesOption=Oilseeds | |||
|Land-use=GEM-E3 considers land as a separate production factor; | |||
}} | |||
{{EmissionClimateTemplate | |||
|GHGOption=HFCs; SF6; CO2 fossil fuels; CH4 energy; CH4 other; N2O energy; N2O other | |||
|ClimateIndicatorText=GEM-E3 model does not include climate indicators. | |||
|CarbonDioxideRemovalOption=Bioenergy with CCS; Afforestation; Direct air capture | |||
|Co-LinkagesOption=Energy access: Household energy consumption | |||
}} |
Latest revision as of 17:49, 26 August 2020
The reference card is a clearly defined description of model features. The numerous options have been organized into a limited amount of default and model specific (non default) options. In addition some features are described by a short clarifying text.
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About
Name and version
GEM-E3 _092019
Model link
Institution
Institute of Communication And Computer Systems (ICCS), Greece, https://www.iccs.gr/en/.
Documentation
GEM-E3 documentation consists of a referencecard and detailed model documentation
Process state
published
Model scope and methods
Model documentation: Model_scope_and_methods - GEM-E3
Model type
- Integrated assessment model
- Energy system model
- CGE
- CBA-integrated assessment model
Geographical scope
- Global
- Regional
Objective
The GEM-E3 model is a multi-regional, multi-sectoral, recursive dynamic hybrid computable general equilibrium (CGE) model which provides details on the macro-economy and its interaction with the environment and the energy system. It incorporates micro-economic mechanisms and institutional features within a consistent macro-economic framework.
Solution concept
- Partial equilibrium (price elastic demand)
- Partial equilibrium (fixed demand)
- General equilibrium (closed economy)
Solution horizon
- Recursive dynamic (myopic)
- Intertemporal optimization (foresight)
Solution method
- Simulation
- Optimization
Temporal dimension
Base year:2014, time steps:5, horizon: 2100
Spatial dimension
Number of regions:46
Time discounting type
- Discount rate exogenous
- Discount rate endogenous
Policies
- Emission tax
- Emission pricing
- Cap and trade
- Fuel taxes
- Fuel subsidies
- Feed-in-tariff
- Portfolio standard
- Capacity targets
- Emission standards
- Energy efficiency standards
- Agricultural producer subsidies
- Agricultural consumer subsidies
- Land protection
- Pricing carbon stocks
Socio-economic drivers
Model documentation: Socio-economic drivers - GEM-E3
Population
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Population age structure
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Education level
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Urbanization rate
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
GDP
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Income distribution
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Employment rate
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Labor productivity
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Total factor productivity
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Autonomous energy efficiency improvements
- Yes (exogenous)
- Yes (endogenous)
Macro-economy
Model documentation: Macro-economy - GEM-E3
Economic sector
Industry
- Yes (physical)
- Yes (economic)
- Yes (physical & economic)
Energy
- Yes (physical)
- Yes (economic)
- Yes (physical & economic)
Transportation
- Yes (physical)
- Yes (economic)
- Yes (physical & economic)
Residential and commercial
- Yes (physical)
- Yes (economic)
- Yes (physical & economic)
Agriculture
- Yes (physical)
- Yes (economic)
- Yes (physical & economic)
Forestry
- Yes (physical)
- Yes (economic)
- Yes (physical & economic)
Other economic sector
- other
Macro-economy
Trade
- Coal
- Oil
- Gas
- Uranium
- Electricity
- Bioenergy crops
- Food crops
- Capital
- Emissions permits
- Non-energy goods
- All other major traded economic activities (40 economic sectors)
- Energy goods
Note: The model links all countries and sectors through endogenous bilateral trade transactions.
Cost measures
- GDP loss
- Welfare loss
- Consumption loss
- Area under MAC
- Energy system cost mark-up
- Equivalent Variation
Categorization by group
- Income
- Urban - rural
- Technology adoption
- Age
- Gender
- Education level
- Household size
Institutional and political factors
- Early retirement of capital allowed
- Interest rates differentiated by country/region
- Regional risk factors included
- Technology costs differentiated by country/region
- Technological change differentiated by country/region
- Behavioural change differentiated by country/region
- Constraints on cross country financial transfers
Resource use
Coal
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Conventional Oil
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Unconventional Oil
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Conventional Gas
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Unconventional Gas
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Uranium
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Bioenergy
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Water
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Raw Materials
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Land
- Yes (fixed)
- Yes (supply curve)
- Yes (process model)
Technological change
Energy conversion technologies
- No technological change
- Exogenous technological change
- Endogenous technological change
Energy End-use
- No technological change
- Exogenous technological change
- Endogenous technological change
Material Use
- No technological change
- Exogenous technological change
- Endogenous technological change
Agriculture (tc)
- No technological change
- Exogenous technological change
- Endogenous technological change
Other technological change
- Other: Total factor productivity, Labour productivity, Capital productivity are all exogenous. Semi-endogenous TFP for clean technologies based on learning by doing and learning by research
Energy
Model documentation: Energy - GEM-E3
Energy technology substitution
Energy technology choice
- No discrete technology choices
- Logit choice model
- Production function
- Linear choice (lowest cost)
- Lowest cost with adjustment penalties
Energy technology substitutability
- Mostly high substitutability
- Mostly low substitutability
- Mixed high and low substitutability
Energy technology deployment
- Expansion and decline constraints
- System integration constraints
Energy
Electricity technologies
- Coal w/o CCS
- Coal w/ CCS
- Gas w/o CCS
- Gas w/ CCS
- Oil w/o CCS
- Oil w/ CCS
- Bioenergy w/o CCS
- Bioenergy w/ CCS
- Geothermal power
- Nuclear power
- Solar power
- Solar power-central PV
- Solar power-distributed PV
- Solar power-CSP
- Wind power
- Wind power-onshore
- Wind power-offshore
- Hydroelectric power
- Ocean power
Hydrogen production
- Coal to hydrogen w/o CCS
- Coal to hydrogen w/ CCS
- Natural gas to hydrogen w/o CCS
- Natural gas to hydrogen w/ CCS
- Oil to hydrogen w/o CCS
- Oil to hydrogen w/ CCS
- Biomass to hydrogen w/o CCS
- Biomass to hydrogen w/ CCS
- Nuclear thermochemical hydrogen
- Solar thermochemical hydrogen
- Electrolysis
Refined liquids
- Coal to liquids w/o CCS
- Coal to liquids w/ CCS
- Gas to liquids w/o CCS
- Gas to liquids w/ CCS
- Bioliquids w/o CCS
- Bioliquids w/ CCS
- Oil refining
Refined gases
- Coal to gas w/o CCS
- Coal to gas w/ CCS
- Oil to gas w/o CCS
- Oil to gas w/ CCS
- Biomass to gas w/o CCS
- Biomass to gas w/ CCS
Heat generation
- Coal heat
- Natural gas heat
- Oil heat
- Biomass heat
- Geothermal heat
- Solarthermal heat
- CHP (coupled heat and power)
Grid Infra Structure
Electricity
- Yes (aggregate)
- Yes (spatially explicit)
Gas
- Yes (aggregate)
- Yes (spatially explicit)
Heat
- Yes (aggregate)
- Yes (spatially explicit)
CO2
- Yes (aggregate)
- Yes (spatially explicit)
Hydrogen
- Yes (aggregate)
- Yes (spatially explicit)
Energy end-use technologies
Passenger transportation
- Passenger trains
- Buses
- Light Duty Vehicles (LDVs)
- Electric LDVs
- Hydrogen LDVs
- Hybrid LDVs
- Gasoline LDVs
- Diesel LDVs
- Passenger aircrafts
Freight transportation
- Freight trains
- Heavy duty vehicles
- Freight aircrafts
- Freight ships
Industry
- Steel production
- Aluminium production
- Cement production
- Petrochemical production
- Paper production
- Plastics production
- Pulp production
- Other: Equipment goods, Non-metalic minnerals, Consumer goods industries
Residential and commercial
- Space heating
- Space cooling
- Cooking
- Refrigeration
- Washing
- Lighting
Land-use
Model documentation: Land-use - GEM-E3
Land cover
- Cropland
- Cropland irrigated
- Cropland food crops
- Cropland feed crops
- Cropland energy crops
- Forest
- Managed forest
- Natural forest
- Pasture
- Shrubland
- Built-up area
Agriculture and forestry demands
- Agriculture food
- Agriculture food crops
- Agriculture food livestock
- Agriculture feed
- Agriculture feed crops
- Agriculture feed livestock
- Agriculture non-food
- Agriculture non-food crops
- Agriculture non-food livestock
- Agriculture bioenergy
- Agriculture residues
- Forest industrial roundwood
- Forest fuelwood
- Forest residues
Agricultural commodities
- Wheat
- Rice
- Other coarse grains
- Oilseeds
- Sugar crops
- Ruminant meat
- Non-ruminant meat and eggs
- Dairy products
Emission, climate and impacts
Model documentation: Emissions - GEM-E3, Climate - GEM-E3, Non-climate sustainability dimension - GEM-E3
Greenhouse gases
- CO2 fossil fuels
- CO2 cement
- CO2 land use
- CH4 energy
- CH4 land use
- CH4 other
- N2O energy
- N2O land use
- N2O other
- CFCs
- HFCs
- SF6
- PFCs
Pollutants
- CO energy
- CO land use
- CO other
- NOx energy
- NOx land use
- NOx other
- VOC energy
- VOC land use
- VOC other
- SO2 energy
- SO2 land use
- SO2 other
- BC energy
- BC land use
- BC other
- OC energy
- OC land use
- OC other
- NH3 energy
- NH3 land use
- NH3 other
Climate indicators
- Concentration: CO2
- Concentration: CH4
- Concentration: N2O
- Concentration: Kyoto gases
- Radiative forcing: CO2
- Radiative forcing: CH4
- Radiative forcing: N2O
- Radiative forcing: F-gases
- Radiative forcing: Kyoto gases
- Radiative forcing: aerosols
- Radiative forcing: land albedo
- Radiative forcing: AN3A
- Radiative forcing: total
- Temperature change
- Sea level rise
- Ocean acidification
Note: GEM-E3 model does not include climate indicators.
Carbon dioxide removal
- Bioenergy with CCS
- Reforestation
- Afforestation
- Soil carbon enhancement
- Direct air capture
- Enhanced weathering
Climate change impacts
- Agriculture
- Energy supply
- Energy demand
- Economic output
- Built capital
- Inequality
Co-Linkages
- Energy security: Fossil fuel imports & exports (region)
- Energy access: Household energy consumption
- Air pollution & health: Source-based aerosol emissions
- Air pollution & health: Health impacts of air Pollution
- Food access
- Water availability
- Biodiversity
Note: GEM-E3 represents 29 sectors: Agriculture,Coal,Crude Oil,Oil,Gas,Electricity supply,Ferrous and non ferrous metals,Chemical Products,Other energy intensive,Electric Goods,Transport equipment,Other Equipment Goods,Consumer Goods Industries,Construction,Transport (Air),Transport (Land),Transport (Water),Market Services,Non Market Services,Coal fired,Oil fired,Gas fired,Nuclear,Biomass,Hydro electric,Wind,PV,CCS coal,CCS Gas