Data - POLES: Difference between revisions

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Synthetic view of POLES data sources:
== Macro-economic drivers ==
Population
* UN (2015, medium fertility)
GDP
* World Bank (2015), EC (2015), IMF (2016), OECD (2013, see also Dellink et al. 2014)
Value added
* World Bank (2015); projection endogenous
Mobility, vehicles, households, tons of steel
* Sectoral databases; projections endogenous
== Energy resources ==
Oil, gas, coal
* BGR (2014), USGS (2013), WEC (2013), sectoral databases
Uranium
* OECD (2014)
Biomass
* EU: Green-X model1
* Non-EU: GLOBIOM model
Hydro
* Enerdata (2015)
Wind, solar
* NREL (2013), Pietzcker (2014)
== Energy balances ==
Reserves, production
* BP (2015), Enerdata (2015), IEA (2015); projections endogenous
Demand by sector and fuel, transformation (including. power), losses
* Enerdata (2015), IEA (2015); projections endogenous
== Energy prices ==
International energy prices, prices to consumer
* EIA (2016), Enerdata (2015), IEA (2015); projections endogenous
== GHG emissions ==
Energy CO2
* Derived from energy balances; endogenous
Other GHG Annex 1
* UNFCCC (2015); projections endogenous, and derived from data from GLOBIOM
Other GHG Non-Annex 1 (excl. LULUCF)
* EDGAR (EC JRC 2015); projections endogenous, and derived from data from GLOBIOM
LULUCF Non-Annex 1
* FAO (2015); projections endogenous, and derived from data from GLOBIOM
== Technology costs ==
JRC-POLES learning curves based on literature, including but not only:  EC JRC (2014), IEA Technology Roadmaps, WEC (2013), TECHPOL database (developed in several European research projects: SAPIENT, SAPIENTIA, CASCADE MINTS - see for instance: [http://cordis.europa.eu/result/rcn/47819_en.html])

Revision as of 18:13, 20 October 2016

Model Documentation - POLES

    Corresponding documentation
    Previous versions
    Model information
    Model link
    Institution JRC - Joint Research Centre - European Commission (EC-JRC), Belgium, http://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/.
    Solution concept Partial equilibrium (price elastic demand)
    Solution method SimulationRecursive simulation
    Anticipation Myopic

    Synthetic view of POLES data sources:

    Macro-economic drivers

    Population

    • UN (2015, medium fertility)

    GDP

    • World Bank (2015), EC (2015), IMF (2016), OECD (2013, see also Dellink et al. 2014)

    Value added

    • World Bank (2015); projection endogenous

    Mobility, vehicles, households, tons of steel

    • Sectoral databases; projections endogenous


    Energy resources

    Oil, gas, coal

    • BGR (2014), USGS (2013), WEC (2013), sectoral databases

    Uranium

    • OECD (2014)

    Biomass

    • EU: Green-X model1
    • Non-EU: GLOBIOM model

    Hydro

    • Enerdata (2015)

    Wind, solar

    • NREL (2013), Pietzcker (2014)


    Energy balances

    Reserves, production

    • BP (2015), Enerdata (2015), IEA (2015); projections endogenous

    Demand by sector and fuel, transformation (including. power), losses

    • Enerdata (2015), IEA (2015); projections endogenous


    Energy prices

    International energy prices, prices to consumer

    • EIA (2016), Enerdata (2015), IEA (2015); projections endogenous


    GHG emissions

    Energy CO2

    • Derived from energy balances; endogenous

    Other GHG Annex 1

    • UNFCCC (2015); projections endogenous, and derived from data from GLOBIOM

    Other GHG Non-Annex 1 (excl. LULUCF)

    • EDGAR (EC JRC 2015); projections endogenous, and derived from data from GLOBIOM

    LULUCF Non-Annex 1

    • FAO (2015); projections endogenous, and derived from data from GLOBIOM


    Technology costs

    JRC-POLES learning curves based on literature, including but not only: EC JRC (2014), IEA Technology Roadmaps, WEC (2013), TECHPOL database (developed in several European research projects: SAPIENT, SAPIENTIA, CASCADE MINTS - see for instance: [1])