Policy - IFs: Difference between revisions
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All model parameters and initial conditions are accessible via the interlace and therefore changeable by users. Example areas where policy interventions can be introduced into the model are<br> | All model parameters and initial conditions are accessible via the interlace and therefore changeable by users. Example areas where policy interventions can be introduced into the model are<br> | ||
• Demographics: fertility, mortality (in more detail via the health model), and migration—all of which affect population growth and level.<br> | • Demographics: fertility, mortality (in more detail via the health model), and migration—all of which affect population growth and level.<br> | ||
• Economics: on the production side are investment, labor force participation, and productivity (via assumptions about systemic advance, convergence rate, and a wide range of specific endogenous drivers); interventions are also possible on savings levels and consumption patterns and on patterns of trade.<br> | • Economics: on the production side are investment, labor force participation, and productivity (via assumptions about systemic advance, convergence rate, and a wide range of specific endogenous drivers); interventions are also possible on savings levels and consumption patterns and on patterns of trade.<br> | ||
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• Socio-Political Change: government revenue and expenditure patterns from multiple sources and to multiple targets; corruption and democracy levels; status of women; value change.<br> | • Socio-Political Change: government revenue and expenditure patterns from multiple sources and to multiple targets; corruption and democracy levels; status of women; value change.<br> | ||
• Geopolitics: Country and regional power levels.<br> | • Geopolitics: Country and regional power levels.<br> | ||
• Food and Agriculture: Land use and yield/production levels; trade patterns—all of which affect calorie availability and malnutrition rates.< | • Food and Agriculture: Land use and yield/production levels; trade patterns—all of which affect calorie availability and malnutrition rates.<br> | ||
• Energy: Resource and production level by energy type including renewable energy share, demand level and patterns. <br> | • Energy: Resource and production level by energy type including renewable energy share, demand level and patterns. <br> | ||
• Infrastructure: investment and access extension by type (road, water, sanitation, electricity, ICT).<br> | • Infrastructure: investment and access extension by type (road, water, sanitation, electricity, ICT).<br> | ||
• Environment: atmospheric carbon dioxide levels via interventions in models noted above (e.g. land use, carbon intensity of energy); water demand by final use and water supply by source.<br> | • Environment: atmospheric carbon dioxide levels via interventions in models noted above (e.g. land use, carbon intensity of energy); water demand by final use and water supply by source.<br> | ||
Prepackaged scenario intervention files also allow integrated analysis of scenario sets including the UNEP GEO-4 set and the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) set. | Prepackaged scenario intervention files also allow integrated analysis of scenario sets including the UNEP GEO-4 set and the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) set. | ||
Revision as of 00:27, 3 August 2018
Note: The documentation of IFs is 'under review' and is not yet 'published'!| Corresponding documentation | |
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| Previous versions | |
| Model information | |
| Model link | |
| Institution | Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, University of Denver (Pardee Center), Colorado, USA, https://pardee.du.edu/. |
| Solution concept | |
| Solution method | Dynamic recursive with annual time steps through 2100. |
| Anticipation | Myopic |
All model parameters and initial conditions are accessible via the interlace and therefore changeable by users. Example areas where policy interventions can be introduced into the model are
• Demographics: fertility, mortality (in more detail via the health model), and migration—all of which affect population growth and level.
• Economics: on the production side are investment, labor force participation, and productivity (via assumptions about systemic advance, convergence rate, and a wide range of specific endogenous drivers); interventions are also possible on savings levels and consumption patterns and on patterns of trade.
• Education: enrollment, continuation, and completion/transition rates; spending levels.
• Health: mortality and morbidity rates across 15 different causes.
• Socio-Political Change: government revenue and expenditure patterns from multiple sources and to multiple targets; corruption and democracy levels; status of women; value change.
• Geopolitics: Country and regional power levels.
• Food and Agriculture: Land use and yield/production levels; trade patterns—all of which affect calorie availability and malnutrition rates.
• Energy: Resource and production level by energy type including renewable energy share, demand level and patterns.
• Infrastructure: investment and access extension by type (road, water, sanitation, electricity, ICT).
• Environment: atmospheric carbon dioxide levels via interventions in models noted above (e.g. land use, carbon intensity of energy); water demand by final use and water supply by source.
Prepackaged scenario intervention files also allow integrated analysis of scenario sets including the UNEP GEO-4 set and the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) set.