References - MESSAGE-GLOBIOM

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Model Documentation - MESSAGE-GLOBIOM

Corresponding documentation
Previous versions
Model information
Model link
Institution International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Austria, http://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at.
Solution concept General equilibrium (closed economy)
Solution method Optimization
Anticipation

{{#referencelist:

|references=MSG-GLB_lamarque_historical_2010;MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_representative_2011;MSG-GLB_rao_future_2016;MSG-GLB_fricko_energy_2016; MSG-GLB_cameron_policy_2016;MSG-GLB_keppo_short_2010;MSG-GLB_krey_implications_2009;MSG-GLB_oneill_mitigation_2010;MSG-GLB_schafer_structural_2005;MSG-GLB_messner_endogenized_1997;MSG-GLB_ekholm_determinants_2010;MSG-GLB_pachauri_pathways_2013;MSG-GLB_rogner_chapter_2012;MSG-GLB_hoogwijk_global_2004;MSG-GLB_hoogwijk_global_2008;MSG-GLB_christiansson_diffusion_1995;MSG-GLB_tubiello_reducing_2007;MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_future_2009;MSG-GLB_larson_chapter_2012;MSG-GLB_riahi_greenhouse_2000;MSG-GLB_riahi_prospects_2004;MSG-GLB_rao_role_2006;MSG-GLB_riahi_rcp_2011;MSG-GLB_riahi_scenarios_2007;MSG-GLB_wigley_magicc/scengen_2008;MSG-GLB_keppo_probabilistic_2007;MSG-GLB_meinshausen_greenhouse-gas_2009;MSG-GLB_meinshausen_what_2006;MSG-GLB_forest_quantifying_2002;MSG-GLB_amann_cost-effective_2011;MSG-GLB_amann_current_2004;MSG-GLB_berndes_contribution_2003;MSG-GLB_bringezu_assessing_2009;MSG-GLB_dornburg_biomass_2008;MSG-GLB_eickhout_local_2008;MSG-GLB_MSG-GLB_fischer_can_2009;MSG-GLB_granier_evolution_2011;MSG-GLB_manne_buying_1992;MSG-GLB_messner_messagemacro:_2000;MSG-GLB_nonhebel_energy_2007;MSG-GLB_plantinga_econometric_1999;MSG-GLB_rao_environmental_2012;MSG-GLB_rao_better_2013;MSG-GLB_riahi_chapter_2012;MSG-GLB_rokityanskiy_geographically_2007;MSG-GLB_sathaye_summary_2003;MSG-GLB_sathaye_ghg_2006;MSG-GLB_searchinger_use_2008;MSG-GLB_smeets_bottom-up_2007;MSG-GLB_smith_competition_2010;MSG-GLB_stavins_costs_1999;MSG-GLB_stehfest_climate_2009;MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_outlook_2009;MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_bio-energy_2010;MSG-GLB_van_vliet_copenhagen_2012;MSG-GLB_messner_users_1995;MSG-GLB_ipcc_climate_2007;MSG-GLB_ipcc_revised_1996;MSG-GLB_schneider_long-term_2008;MSG-GLB_loulou_markal-macro_2004;MSG-GLB_oneill_roads_2015;MSG-GLB_havlik_global_2011;MSG-GLB_havlik_climate_2014;MSG-GLB_kindermann_predicting_2006;MSG-GLB_gusti_algorithm_2010;MSG-GLB_meinshausen_emulating_2011;MSG-GLB_meinshausen_rcp_2011;MSG-GLB_rogelj_2020_2013;MSG-GLB_rogelj_probabilistic_2013;MSG-GLB_sullivan_electric_2013;MSG-GLB_rogelj_mitigation_2015;MSG-GLB_cofala_scenarios_2007;MSG-GLB_amann_regional_2013;MSG-GLB_environmental_protection_agency_epa_global_2013;MSG-GLB_joint_research_centre_global_emissions_emission_2011;MSG-GLB_rogner_assessment_1997;MSG-GLB_riahi_shared_2016;MSG-GLB_oneill_new_2014;MSG-GLB_kc_human_2014;MSG-GLB_dellink_long-term_2015;MSG-GLB_johnson_vre_2016;MSG-GLB_pietzcker_solar_2014;MSG-GLB_eurek_wind_2016;MSG-GLB_fricko_marker_2016;MSG-GLB_world_bank_group_world_2012;MSG-GLB_un_population_division_world_2010;MSG-GLB_international_energy_agency_energy_2012;MSG-GLB_international_energy_agency_world_2014;MSG-GLB_oecd_uranium_2003;MSG-GLB_leibowicz_growth_2015;MSG-GLB_alexandratos_world_2012;MSG-GLB_bouwman_exploring_2005;MSG-GLB_conant_grassland_2004;MSG-GLB_environmental_protection_agency_epa_US_2012;MSG-GLB_food_and_agricultural_organization_fao_global_2010;MSG-GLB_fritz_highlighting_2011;MSG-GLB_herrero_global_2013;MSG-GLB_herrero_systems_2008;MSG-GLB_keyzer_diet_2005;MSG-GLB_kindermann_global_2008;MSG-GLB_mccarl_surplus_1980;MSG-GLB_mitchell_improved_2005;MSG-GLB_muhammad_international_2011;MSG-GLB_oneill_meeting_2012;MSG-GLB_parton_analysis_1987;MSG-GLB_parton_observations_1993;MSG-GLB_ramankutty_farming_2008;MSG-GLB_reynolds_estimating_2000;MSG-GLB_ruesch_new_ipcc_2008;MSG-GLB_russ_global_2007;MSG-GLB_schloss_comparing_1999;MSG-GLB_schneider_agricultural_2007;MSG-GLB_seale_international_2003;MSG-GLB_sere_world_1996;MSG-GLB_skalsky_geo-bene_2008;MSG-GLB_takayama_spatial_1971;MSG-GLB_tubiello_faostat_2013;MSG-GLB_williams_computer_1995;MSG-GLB_wint_gridded_2007;MSG-GLB_you_entropy_2006;MSG-GLB_izaurralde_simulating_2006;MSG-GLB_FAO_global_2006;MSG-GLB_kindermann_global_forest_2008;MSG-GLB_biomass_handbook_2005;MSG-GLB_rametsteiner_study_2007;MSG-GLB_hamelinck_future_2001;MSG-GLB_leduc_optimal_2008;MSG-GLB_sørensen_economies_2005;MSG-GLB_carpentieri_future_1993;MSG-GLB_herzogbaum_forstpflanzen_2008;MSG-GLB_jurvélius_labor_1997;MSG-GLB_ILO_occupational_2007;MSG-GLB_FPP_holzernte_1999;MSG-GLB_jiroušek_productivity_2007;MSG-GLB_stokes_field_1986;MSG-GLB_wang_productivity_2004;MSG-GLB_hartsough_harvesting_2001;MSG-GLB_heston_penn_2006|+sep=;
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}}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_lamarque_historical_2010, title = {Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application}, volume = {10}, issn = {1680-7324}, url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/10/7017/2010/}, doi = {10.5194/acp-10-7017-2010}, number = {15}, journal = {Atmos. Chem. Phys.}, author = {Lamarque, J.-F. and Bond, T. C. and Eyring, V. and Granier, C. and Heil, A. and Klimont, Z. and Lee, D. and Liousse, C. and Mieville, A. and Owen, B. and Schultz, M. G. and Shindell, D. and Smith, S. J. and Stehfest, E. and Van Aardenne, J. and Cooper, O. R. and Kainuma, M. and Mahowald, N. and McConnell, J. R. and Naik, V. and Riahi, K. and van Vuuren, D. P.}, month = aug, year = {2010}, pages = {7017--7039} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_representative_2011, title = {The representative concentration pathways: an overview}, volume = {109}, issn = {1573-1480}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z}, doi = {10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z}, abstract = {This paper summarizes the development process and main characteristics of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), a set of four new pathways developed for the climate modeling community as a basis for long-term and near-term modeling experiments. The four RCPs together span the range of year 2100 radiative forcing values found in the open literature, i.e. from 2.6 to 8.5 W/m2. The RCPs are the product of an innovative collaboration between integrated assessment modelers, climate modelers, terrestrial ecosystem modelers and emission inventory experts. The resulting product forms a comprehensive data set with high spatial and sectoral resolutions for the period extending to 2100. Land use and emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases are reported mostly at a 0.5 × 0.5 degree spatial resolution, with air pollutants also provided per sector (for well-mixed gases, a coarser resolution is used). The underlying integrated assessment model outputs for land use, atmospheric emissions and concentration data were harmonized across models and scenarios to ensure consistency with historical observations while preserving individual scenario trends. For most variables, the RCPs cover a wide range of the existing literature. The RCPs are supplemented with extensions (Extended Concentration Pathways, ECPs), which allow climate modeling experiments through the year 2300. The RCPs are an important development in climate research and provide a potential foundation for further research and assessment, including emissions mitigation and impact analysis.}, number = {1}, journal = {Climatic Change}, author = {van Vuuren, Detlef P. and Edmonds, Jae and Kainuma, Mikiko and Riahi, Keywan and Thomson, Allison and Hibbard, Kathy and Hurtt, George C. and Kram, Tom and Krey, Volker and Lamarque, Jean-Francois and Masui, Toshihiko and Meinshausen, Malte and Nakicenovic, Nebojsa and Smith, Steven J. and Rose, Steven K.}, year = {2011}, pages = {5} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rao_future_2016, title = {Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways}, issn = {0959-3780}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, author = {Rao, Shilpa and Klimont, Zbigniew and Smith, Steven J and Van Dingenen, Rita and Dentener, Frank and Bouwman, Lex and Riahi, Keywan and Amann, Markus and Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon and van Vuuren, Detlef P}, year = {2016} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_fricko_energy_2016, title = {Energy sector water use implications of a 2° {C} climate policy}, volume = {11}, issn = {1748-9326}, number = {3}, journal = {Environmental Research Letters}, author = {Fricko, Oliver and Parkinson, Simon C and Johnson, Nils and Strubegger, Manfred and van Vliet, Michelle TH and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2016}, pages = {034011} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_cameron_policy_2016, title = {Policy trade-offs between climate mitigation and clean cook-stove access in South Asia}, volume = {1}, issn = {2058-7546}, journal = {Nature Energy}, author = {Cameron, Colin and Pachauri, Shonali and Rao, Narasimha D and McCollum, David and Rogelj, Joeri and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2016}, pages = {15010} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_keppo_short_2010, title = {Short term decisions for long term problems–The effect of foresight on model based energy systems analysis}, volume = {35}, issn = {0360-5442}, number = {5}, journal = {Energy}, author = {Keppo, Ilkka and Strubegger, Manfred}, year = {2010}, pages = {2033--2042} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_krey_implications_2009, title = {Implications of delayed participation and technology failure for the feasibility, costs, and likelihood of staying below temperature targets—Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for the 21st century}, volume = {31}, issn = {0140-9883}, journal = {Energy Economics}, author = {Krey, Volker and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2009}, pages = {S94--S106} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_oneill_mitigation_2010, title = {Mitigation implications of midcentury targets that preserve long-term climate policy options}, volume = {107}, issn = {0027-8424}, number = {3}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences}, author = {O’Neill, Brian C and Riahi, Keywan and Keppo, Ilkka}, year = {2010}, pages = {1011--1016} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_schafer_structural_2005, title = {Structural change in energy use}, volume = {33}, issn = {0301-4215}, number = {4}, journal = {Energy Policy}, author = {Schäfer, Andreas}, year = {2005}, pages = {429--437} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_messner_endogenized_1997, title = {Endogenized technological learning in an energy systems model}, volume = {7}, issn = {0936-9937}, number = {3}, journal = {Journal of Evolutionary Economics}, author = {Messner, Sabine}, year = {1997}, pages = {291--313} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_ekholm_determinants_2010, title = {Determinants of household energy consumption in India}, volume = {38}, issn = {0301-4215}, number = {10}, journal = {Energy Policy}, author = {Ekholm, Tommi and Krey, Volker and Pachauri, Shonali and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2010}, pages = {5696--5707} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_pachauri_pathways_2013, title = {Pathways to achieve universal household access to modern energy by 2030}, volume = {8}, issn = {1748-9326}, number = {2}, journal = {Environmental Research Letters}, author = {Pachauri, Shonali and van Ruijven, Bas J and Nagai, Yu and Riahi, Keywan and van Vuuren, Detlef P and Brew-Hammond, Abeeku and Nakicenovic, Nebojsa}, year = {2013}, pages = {024015} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @incollection{MSG-GLB_rogner_chapter_2012, title = {Chapter 7 - Energy resources and potentials}, booktitle = {Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future}, publisher = {Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria}, author = {Rogner, H and Aguilera, Roberto F and Archer, Christina and Bertani, Ruggero and Bhattacharya, S and Dusseault, M and Gagnon, Luc and Harbel, H and Hoogwijk, Monique and Johnson, Arthur}, year = {2012}, pages = {423--512} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @report{MSG-GLB_hoogwijk_global_2004, type = {report}, title = {On the global and regional potential of renewable energy sources (PhD Thesis)}, institution = {Department of Science, Technology and Society. Utrecht University}, author = {Hoogwijk, Monique Maria}, year = {2004} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_hoogwijk_global_2008, title = {Global potential of renewable energy sources: a literature assessment}, journal = {Background report prepared by order of REN21. Ecofys, PECSNL072975}, author = {Hoogwijk, Monique and Graus, Wina}, year = {2008} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_christiansson_diffusion_1995, title = {Diffusion and learning curves of renewable-energy technologies}, issn = {0304-7121}, journal = {IIASA Report}, author = {Christiansson, Lena}, year = {1995} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_tubiello_reducing_2007, title = {Reducing climate change impacts on agriculture: Global and regional effects of mitigation, 2000–2080}, volume = {74}, issn = {0040-1625}, number = {7}, journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change}, author = {Tubiello, Francesco N and Fischer, Günther}, year = {2007}, pages = {1030--1056} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_future_2009, title = {Future bio-energy potential under various natural constraints}, volume = {37}, issn = {0301-4215}, number = {11}, journal = {Energy Policy}, author = {Van Vuuren, Detlef P and van Vliet, Jasper and Stehfest, Elke}, year = {2009}, pages = {4220--4230} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @incollection{MSG-GLB_larson_chapter_2012, address = {Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria}, title = {Chapter 12 - Fossil Energy}, isbn = {9781 10700 5198 hardback 9780 52118 2935 paperback}, shorttitle = {Chapter 12 - Fossil Energy}, url = {www.globalenergyassessment.org}, booktitle = {Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future}, author = {Larson, Eric D. and Li, Zheng and Williams, Robert H.}, year = {2012}, pages = {901--992} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_riahi_greenhouse_2000, title = {Greenhouse gas emissions in a dynamics-as-usual scenario of economic and energy development}, volume = {63}, issn = {0040-1625}, number = {2}, journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change}, author = {Riahi, Keywan and Roehrl, R Alexander}, year = {2000}, pages = {175--205} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_riahi_prospects_2004, title = {Prospects for carbon capture and sequestration technologies assuming their technological learning}, volume = {29}, issn = {0360-5442}, number = {9}, journal = {Energy}, author = {Riahi, Keywan and Rubin, Edward S and Schrattenholzer, Leo}, year = {2004}, pages = {1309--1318} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rao_role_2006, title = {The Role of Non-CO₃ Greenhouse Gases in Climate Change Mitigation: Long-term Scenarios for the 21st Century}, issn = {0195-6574}, journal = {The Energy Journal}, author = {Rao, Shilpa and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2006}, pages = {177--200} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_riahi_rcp_2011, title = {{RCP} 8.5—{A} scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions}, volume = {109}, issn = {0165-0009}, number = {1-2}, journal = {Climatic Change}, author = {Riahi, Keywan and Rao, Shilpa and Krey, Volker and Cho, Cheolhung and Chirkov, Vadim and Fischer, Guenther and Kindermann, Georg and Nakicenovic, Nebojsa and Rafaj, Peter}, year = {2011}, pages = {33--57} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_riahi_scenarios_2007, title = {Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization}, volume = {74}, issn = {0040-1625}, number = {7}, journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change}, author = {Riahi, Keywan and Grübler, Arnulf and Nakicenovic, Nebojsa}, year = {2007}, pages = {887--935} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_wigley_magicc/scengen_2008, title = {{MAGICC}/{SCENGEN} 5.3: {User} manual (version 2)}, volume = {80}, journal = {NCAR, Boulder, CO}, author = {Wigley, Tom ML}, year = {2008} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_keppo_probabilistic_2007, title = {Probabilistic temperature change projections and energy system implications of greenhouse gas emission scenarios}, volume = {74}, issn = {0040-1625}, number = {7}, journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change}, author = {Keppo, Ilkka and O'Neill, Brian C and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2007}, pages = {936--961} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_meinshausen_greenhouse-gas_2009, title = {Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 {C}}, volume = {458}, issn = {0028-0836}, number = {7242}, journal = {Nature}, author = {Meinshausen, Malte and Meinshausen, Nicolai and Hare, William and Raper, Sarah CB and Frieler, Katja and Knutti, Reto and Frame, David J and Allen, Myles R}, year = {2009}, pages = {1158--1162} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_meinshausen_what_2006, title = {What does a 2 {C} target mean for greenhouse gas concentrations? {A} brief analysis based on multi-gas emission pathways and several climate sensitivity uncertainty estimates}, volume = {270}, journal = {Avoiding dangerous climate change}, author = {Meinshausen, Malte}, year = {2006} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_forest_quantifying_2002, title = {Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties with the use of recent climate observations}, volume = {295}, issn = {0036-8075}, number = {5552}, journal = {Science}, author = {Forest, Chris E and Stone, Peter H and Sokolov, Andrei P and Allen, Myles R and Webster, Mort D}, year = {2002}, pages = {113--117} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_amann_cost-effective_2011, title = {Cost-effective control of air quality and greenhouse gases in {Europe}: {Modeling} and policy applications}, volume = {26}, issn = {1364-8152}, shorttitle = {Cost-effective control of air quality and greenhouse gases in {Europe}}, url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815211001733}, doi = {10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.07.012}, number = {12}, urldate = {2016-03-24}, journal = {Environmental Modelling \& Software}, author = {Amann, Markus and Bertok, Imrich and Borken-Kleefeld, Jens and Cofala, Janusz and Heyes, Chris and Höglund-Isaksson, Lena and Klimont, Zbigniew and Nguyen, Binh and Posch, Maximilian and Rafaj, Peter and Sandler, Robert and Schöpp, Wolfgang and Wagner, Fabian and Winiwarter, Wilfried}, month = dec, year = {2011}, keywords = {Air pollution, Convention on Long-range transboundary air pollution, Cost-effectiveness, Decision support, GAINS model, Integrated assessment, Science–policy interface}, pages = {1489--1501} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_amann_current_2004, title = {Current {Legislation}” and the “{Maximum} {Technically} {Feasible} {Reduction}” cases for the {CAFE} baseline emission projections}, url = {https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Zbigniew_Klimont/publication/230709494_The_Current_Legislation_and_the_Maximum_Technically_Feasible_Reduction_cases_for_the_CAFE_baseline_emission_projections._CAFE_Report__2/links/0deec53cd2d778aafb000000.pdf}, urldate = {2016-03-24}, journal = {IIASA, Vienna}, author = {Amann, Markus and Cabala, Rafal and Cofala, Janusz and Heyes, Chris and Klimont, Zbigniew and Schöpp, Wolfgang and Tarrason, Leonor and Simpson, David and Wind, Peter and Jonson, Jan-Eiof}, year = {2004} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_berndes_contribution_2003, title = {The contribution of biomass in the future global energy supply: a review of 17 studies}, volume = {25}, issn = {0961-9534}, shorttitle = {The contribution of biomass in the future global energy supply}, url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096195340200185X}, doi = {10.1016/S0961-9534(02)00185-X}, abstract = {This paper discusses the contribution of biomass in the future global energy supply. The discussion is based on a review of 17 earlier studies on the subject. These studies have arrived at widely different conclusions about the possible contribution of biomass in the future global energy supply (e.g., from below 100 EJ yr−1 to above 400 EJ yr−1 in 2050). The major reason for the differences is that the two most crucial parameters—land availability and yield levels in energy crop production—are very uncertain, and subject to widely different opinions (e.g., the assessed 2050 plantation supply ranges from below 50 EJ yr−1 to almost 240 EJ yr−1). However, also the expectations about future availability of forest wood and of residues from agriculture and forestry vary substantially among the studies.

The question how an expanding bioenergy sector would interact with other land uses, such as food production, biodiversity, soil and nature conservation, and carbon sequestration has been insufficiently analyzed in the studies. It is therefore difficult to establish to what extent bioenergy is an attractive option for climate change mitigation in the energy sector. A refined modeling of interactions between different uses and bioenergy, food and materials production—i.e., of competition for resources, and of synergies between different uses—would facilitate an improved understanding of the prospects for large-scale bioenergy and of future land-use and biomass management in general}, number = {1}, urldate = {2016-03-24}, journal = {Biomass and Bioenergy}, author = {Berndes, Göran and Hoogwijk, Monique and van den Broek, Richard}, month = jul, year = {2003}, keywords = {Assessment, Bioenergy, Biomass energy, Global, Potential, Regional, Review, Scenario}, pages = {1--28} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_bringezu_assessing_2009, title = {Assessing biofuels: towards sustainable production and use of resources}, isbn = {92-807-3052-5}, publisher = {United Nations Environment Programme}, author = {Bringezu, Stefan and Schütz, Helmut and O’Brien, Meghan and Kauppi, Lea and Howarth, Robert W and McNeely, Jeff}, year = {2009} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_dornburg_biomass_2008, title = {Biomass assessment: assessment of global biomass potentials and their links to food, water, biodiversity, energy demand and economy: inventory and analysis of existing studies: supporting document}, number = {500102 014}, journal = {Report/WAB}, author = {Dornburg, Veronika and Faaij, APC and Verweij, PA and Banse, Martin and Diepen, Kees van and Keulen, Herman van and Langeveld, Hans and Meeusen, Marieke and Ven, Gerrie van de and Wester, Flip}, year = {2008} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_eickhout_local_2008, title = {Local and global consequences of the {EU} renewable directive for biofuels: {Testing} the sustainability criteria}, journal = {Local and global consequences of the EU renewable directive for biofuels: testing the sustainability criteria}, author = {Eickhout, Bas and van den Born, Gert Jan and Notenboom, Jos and Oorschot, M van and Ros, JPM and Van Vuuren, DP and Westhoek, HJ}, year = {2008} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @report{MSG-GLB_MSG-GLB_fischer_can_2009, title = {Can technology deliver on the yield challenge to 2050?}, url = {http://www.fao.org/3/a-ak542e/ak542e12a.pdf}, institution = {Expert Meeting on How to feed the World in 2050. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations}, author = {Fischer, RA and Byerlee, Derek and Edmeades, Gregory O}, year = {2009} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_granier_evolution_2011, title = {Evolution of anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of air pollutants at global and regional scales during the 1980–2010 period}, volume = {109}, issn = {0165-0009}, number = {1-2}, journal = {Climatic Change}, author = {Granier, Claire and Bessagnet, Bertrand and Bond, Tami and D’Angiola, Ariela and van Der Gon, Hugo Denier and Frost, Gregory J and Heil, Angelika and Kaiser, Johannes W and Kinne, Stefan and Klimont, Zbigniew}, year = {2011}, pages = {163--190} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_manne_buying_1992, title = {Buying greenhouse insurance: the economic costs of carbon dioxide emission limits}, isbn = {0-262-13280-X}, publisher = {MIT press}, author = {Manne, Alan Sussmann and Richels, Richard G}, year = {1992} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_messner_messagemacro:_2000, title = {MESSAGE–MACRO: linking an energy supply model with a macroeconomic module and solving it iteratively}, volume = {25}, issn = {0360-5442}, number = {3}, journal = {Energy}, author = {Messner, Sabine and Schrattenholzer, Leo}, year = {2000}, pages = {267--282} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_nonhebel_energy_2007, title = {Energy from agricultural residues and consequences for land requirements for food production}, volume = {94}, issn = {0308-521X}, number = {2}, journal = {Agricultural Systems}, author = {Nonhebel, Sanderine}, year = {2007}, pages = {586--592} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_plantinga_econometric_1999, title = {An econometric analysis of the costs of sequestering carbon in forests}, volume = {81}, issn = {0002-9092}, number = {4}, journal = {American Journal of Agricultural Economics}, author = {Plantinga, Andrew J and Mauldin, Thomas and Miller, Douglas J}, year = {1999}, pages = {812--824} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rao_environmental_2012, title = {Environmental modeling and methods for estimation of the global health impacts of air pollution}, volume = {17}, issn = {1420-2026}, number = {6}, journal = {Environmental Modeling \& Assessment}, author = {Rao, Shilpa and Chirkov, Vadim and Dentener, Frank and Van Dingenen, Rita and Pachauri, Shonali and Purohit, Pallav and Amann, Markus and Heyes, Chris and Kinney, Patrick and Kolp, Peter}, year = {2012}, pages = {613--622} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rao_better_2013, title = {Better air for better health: {Forging} synergies in policies for energy access, climate change and air pollution}, volume = {23}, issn = {0959-3780}, number = {5}, journal = {Global environmental change}, author = {Rao, Shilpa and Pachauri, Shonali and Dentener, Frank and Kinney, Patrick and Klimont, Zbigniew and Riahi, Keywan and Schoepp, Wolfgang}, year = {2013}, pages = {1122--1130} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @incollection{MSG-GLB_riahi_chapter_2012, address = {Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria}, title = {Chapter 17 - Energy Pathways for Sustainable Development}, isbn = {9781 10700 5198 hardback 9780 52118 2935 paperback}, shorttitle = {Chapter 17 - Energy Pathways for Sustainable Development}, url = {www.globalenergyassessment.org}, booktitle = {Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future}, author = {Riahi, Keywan and Dentener, Frank and Gielen, Dolf and Grubler, Arnulf and Jewell, Jessica and Klimont, Zbigniew and Krey, Volker and McCollum, David and Pachauri, Shonali and Rao, Shilpa and van Ruijven, Bas and van Vuuren, Detlef P. and Wilson, Charlie}, year = {2012}, pages = {1203--1306} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rokityanskiy_geographically_2007, title = {Geographically explicit global modeling of land-use change, carbon sequestration, and biomass supply}, volume = {74}, issn = {0040-1625}, number = {7}, journal = {Technological Forecasting and Social Change}, author = {Rokityanskiy, Dmitry and Benítez, Pablo C and Kraxner, Florian and McCallum, Ian and Obersteiner, Michael and Rametsteiner, Ewald and Yamagata, Yoshiki}, year = {2007}, pages = {1057--1082} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_sathaye_summary_2003, title = {A summary note estimating global forestry {GHG} mitigation potential and costs: {A} dynamic partial equilibrium approach}, volume = {10}, journal = {working draft, August}, author = {Sathaye, Jayant and Chan, Peter and Dale, Larry and Makundi, Willy and Andrasko, Ken}, year = {2003}, pages = {448--457} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_sathaye_ghg_2006, title = {{GHG} mitigation potential, costs and benefits in global forests: a dynamic partial equilibrium approach}, issn = {0195-6574}, journal = {The Energy Journal}, author = {Sathaye, Jayant and Makundi, Willy and Dale, Larry and Chan, Peter and Andrasko, Kenneth}, year = {2006}, pages = {127--162} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_searchinger_use_2008, title = {Use of {US} croplands for biofuels increases greenhouse gases through emissions from land-use change}, volume = {319}, issn = {0036-8075}, number = {5867}, journal = {Science}, author = {Searchinger, Timothy and Heimlich, Ralph and Houghton, Richard A and Dong, Fengxia and Elobeid, Amani and Fabiosa, Jacinto and Tokgoz, Simla and Hayes, Dermot and Yu, Tun-Hsiang}, year = {2008}, pages = {1238--1240} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_smeets_bottom-up_2007, title = {A bottom-up assessment and review of global bio-energy potentials to 2050}, volume = {33}, issn = {0360-1285}, number = {1}, journal = {Progress in Energy and combustion science}, author = {Smeets, Edward MW and Faaij, André PC and Lewandowski, Iris M and Turkenburg, Wim C}, year = {2007}, pages = {56--106} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_smith_competition_2010, title = {Competition for land}, volume = {365}, issn = {0962-8436}, number = {1554}, journal = {Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences}, author = {Smith, Pete and Gregory, Peter J and Van Vuuren, Detlef and Obersteiner, Michael and Havlík, Petr and Rounsevell, Mark and Woods, Jeremy and Stehfest, Elke and Bellarby, Jessica}, year = {2010}, pages = {2941--2957} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_stavins_costs_1999, title = {The costs of carbon sequestration: a revealed-preference approach}, volume = {89}, issn = {0002-8282}, number = {4}, journal = {The American Economic Review}, author = {Stavins, Robert N}, year = {1999}, pages = {994--1009} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_stehfest_climate_2009, title = {Climate benefits of changing diet}, volume = {95}, issn = {0165-0009}, number = {1-2}, journal = {Climatic change}, author = {Stehfest, Elke and Bouwman, Lex and Van Vuuren, Detlef P and Den Elzen, Michel GJ and Eickhout, Bas and Kabat, Pavel}, year = {2009}, pages = {83--102} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @incollection{MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_outlook_2009, title = {Outlook on agricultural changes and its drivers}, isbn = {1-59726-538-1}, booktitle = {Agriculture at a {Crossroads}-the {Global} {Report} of the {International} {Assessment} of {Agricultural} {Knowledge}, {Science}, and {Technology}}, publisher = {Island Press}, author = {van Vuuren, Detlef and Ochola, Washington and Riha, Susan and Giampietro, Mario and Ginzo, Hector and Henrichs, Thomas and Hussain, Sajidin Hussain and Kok, Kaspar and Makhura, Moraka Makhura and Mirza, Monirul}, year = {2009} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_van_vuuren_bio-energy_2010, title = {Bio-energy use and low stabilization scenarios}, issn = {0195-6574}, journal = {The Energy Journal}, author = {Van Vuuren, Detlef P and Bellevrat, Elie and Kitous, Alban and Isaac, Morna}, year = {2010}, pages = {193--221} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_van_vliet_copenhagen_2012, title = {Copenhagen accord pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2 {C} warming}, volume = {113}, issn = {0165-0009}, number = {2}, journal = {Climatic Change}, author = {van Vliet, Jasper and van den Berg, Maarten and Schaeffer, Michiel and van Vuuren, Detlef P and Den Elzen, Michel and Hof, Andries F and Beltran, Angelica Mendoza and Meinshausen, Malte}, year = {2012}, pages = {551--561} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @report{MSG-GLB_messner_users_1995, title = {User's Guide for MESSAGE III}, url = {http://webarchive.iiasa.ac.at/Admin/PUB/Documents/WP-95-069.pdf}, institution = {International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)}, author = {Messner, Sabine and Strubegger, Manfred}, year = {1995} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_ipcc_climate_2007, title = {Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change}, url = {http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/syr/ar4_syr_full_report.pdf}, publisher = {IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland}, author = {IPCC}, year = {2007} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_ipcc_revised_1996, title = {Revised 1996 {IPCC} Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories: The Workbook (Volume 2)}, url = {http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/gl/invs5a.html}, publisher = {IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland}, author = {IPCC}, year = {1996} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_schneider_long-term_2008, title = {Long-term uranium supply estimates}, volume = {162}, number = {3}, journal = {Nuclear Technology}, author = {Schneider, Erich A and Sailor, William C}, year = {2008}, pages = {379--387} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_loulou_markal-macro_2004, author = "Richard Loulou and Gary Goldstein and Ken Noble", title = "Documentation for the MARKAL Family of Models - Part II: MARKAL-MACRO", publisher = "IEA Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme (ETSAP)", year = "2004", type = "Manual", month = "October", url = "http://www.iea-etsap.org/web/MrklDoc-II_MARKALMACRO.pdf", } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_oneill_roads_2015, title = {The roads ahead: narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century}, issn = {0959-3780}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, author = {O’Neill, Brian C and Kriegler, Elmar and Ebi, Kristie L and Kemp-Benedict, Eric and Riahi, Keywan and Rothman, Dale S and van Ruijven, Bas J and van Vuuren, Detlef P and Birkmann, Joern and Kok, Kasper}, year = {2015} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_havlik_global_2011, title = {Global land-use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets}, volume = {39}, issn = {0301-4215}, number = {10}, journal = {Energy Policy}, author = {Havlík, Petr and Schneider, Uwe A and Schmid, Erwin and Böttcher, Hannes and Fritz, Steffen and Skalský, Rastislav and Aoki, Kentaro and De Cara, Stephane and Kindermann, Georg and Kraxner, Florian}, year = {2011}, pages = {5690--5702} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_havlik_climate_2014, title = {Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions}, volume = {111}, issn = {0027-8424}, number = {10}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences}, author = {Havlík, Petr and Valin, Hugo and Herrero, Mario and Obersteiner, Michael and Schmid, Erwin and Rufino, Mariana C and Mosnier, Aline and Thornton, Philip K and Böttcher, Hannes and Conant, Richard T}, year = {2014}, pages = {3709--3714} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_kindermann_predicting_2006, title = {Predicting the deforestation-trend under different carbon-prices}, volume = {1}, number = {1}, journal = {Carbon Balance and management}, author = {Kindermann, Georg E and Obersteiner, Michael and Rametsteiner, Ewald and McCallum, Ian}, year = {2006}, pages = {15} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_gusti_algorithm_2010, title = {An algorithm for simulation of forest management decisions in the global forest model}, issn = {1561-5359}, journal = {Штучний інтелект}, author = {Gusti, MI}, year = {2010} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_meinshausen_emulating_2011, title = {Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, {MAGICC}6–{Part} 1: {Model} description and calibration}, volume = {11}, issn = {1680-7316}, number = {4}, journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics}, author = {Meinshausen, Malte and Raper, SCB and Wigley, TML}, year = {2011}, pages = {1417--1456} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_meinshausen_rcp_2011, title = {The {RCP} greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300}, volume = {109}, issn = {0165-0009}, number = {1-2}, journal = {Climatic change}, author = {Meinshausen, Malte and Smith, Steven J and Calvin, K and Daniel, John S and Kainuma, MLT and Lamarque, JF and Matsumoto, K and Montzka, SA and Raper, SCB and Riahi, K}, year = {2011}, pages = {213--241} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rogelj_2020_2013, title = {2020 emissions levels required to limit warming to below 2°C}, volume = {3}, issn = {1758-678X}, number = {4}, journal = {Nature Climate Change}, author = {Rogelj, Joeri and McCollum, David L and O’Neill, Brian C and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2013}, pages = {405--412} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rogelj_probabilistic_2013, title = {Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation}, volume = {493}, issn = {0028-0836}, number = {7430}, journal = {Nature}, author = {Rogelj, Joeri and McCollum, David L and Reisinger, Andy and Meinshausen, Malte and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2013}, pages = {79--83} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_sullivan_electric_2013,

  author = {Sullivan, Patrick and Krey, Volker and Riahi, Keywan},
  title = {Impacts of considering electric sector variability and reliability in the MESSAGE model},
  journal = {Energy Strategy Reviews},
  volume = {1},
  number = {3},
  pages = {157-163},
  year = {2013}

} }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rogelj_mitigation_2015, title = {Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals}, volume = {10}, issn = {1748-9326}, number = {7}, journal = {Environmental Research Letters}, author = {Rogelj, Joeri and Reisinger, Andy and McCollum, David L and Knutti, Reto and Riahi, Keywan and Meinshausen, Malte}, year = {2015}, pages = {075003} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_cofala_scenarios_2007, title = {Scenarios of global anthropogenic emissions of air pollutants and methane until 2030}, volume = {41}, issn = {1352-2310}, number = {38}, journal = {Atmospheric Environment}, author = {Cofala, Janusz and Amann, Markus and Klimont, Zbigniew and Kupiainen, Kaarle and Höglund-Isaksson, Lena}, year = {2007}, pages = {8486--8499} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_amann_regional_2013, title = {Regional and global emissions of air pollutants: {Recent} trends and future scenarios}, volume = {38}, issn = {1543-5938}, journal = {Annual Review of Environment and Resources}, author = {Amann, Markus and Klimont, Zbigniew and Wagner, Fabian}, year = {2013}, pages = {31--55} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @webpage{MSG-GLB_environmental_protection_agency_epa_global_2013, Type = webpage title = {Global {Mitigation} of {Non}-{CO}2 {Greenhouse} {Gases}: 2010-2030}, url = {https://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/Downloads/EPAactivities/MAC_Report_2013.pdf}, author = {Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)}, year = {2013} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @webpage{MSG-GLB_joint_research_centre_global_emissions_emission_2011, title = {Emission {Database} for {Global} {Atmospheric} {Research} {EDGAR} v4.2}, url = {http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/overview.php?v=42}, author = {Joint Research Centre, Global Emissions}, month = nov, year = {2011} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_rogner_assessment_1997, title = {An assessment of world hydrocarbon resources}, volume = {22}, issn = {1056-3466}, number = {1}, journal = {Annual review of energy and the environment}, author = {Rogner, Hans-Holger}, year = {1997}, pages = {217--262} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_riahi_shared_2016, title = {The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications}, volume = {in press}, doi = {10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, author = {Riahi, Keywan and Vuuren, Detlef P. van and Kriegler, Elmar and Edmonds, Jae and O’Neill, Brian and Fujimori, Shinichiro and Bauer, Nico and Calvin, Katherine and Dellink, Rob and Fricko, Oliver and Lutz, Wolfgang and Popp, Alexander and Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo and KC, Samir and Leimbach, Marian and Jiang, Leiwen and Kram, Tom and Rao, Shilpa and Emmerling, Johannes and Ebi, Kristie and Hasegawa, Tomoko and Havlik, Petr and Humpenöder, Florian and Silva, Lara Aleluia Da and Smith, Steve and Stehfest, Elke and Bosetti, Valentina and Eom, Jiyong and Gernaat, David and Masui, Toshihiko and Rogelj, Joeri and Strefler, Jessica and Drouet, Laurent and Krey, Volker and Luderer, Gunnar and Harmsen, Mathijs and Takahashi, Kiyoshi and Baumstark, Lavinia and Doelman, Jonathan and Kainuma, Mikiko and Klimont, Zbigniew and Marangoni, Giacomo and Lotze-Campen, Hermann and Obersteiner, Michael and Tabeau, Andrzej and Tavoni, Massimo}, url = {http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/13280/}, year = {2016} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_oneill_new_2014, title = {A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways}, volume = {122}, issn = {0165-0009}, number = {3}, journal = {Climatic Change}, author = {O’Neill, Brian C and Kriegler, Elmar and Riahi, Keywan and Ebi, Kristie L and Hallegatte, Stephane and Carter, Timothy R and Mathur, Ritu and van Vuuren, Detlef P}, year = {2014}, pages = {387--400} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_kc_human_2014, title = {The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: {Population} scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100}, issn = {0959-3780}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, author = {KC, Samir and Lutz, Wolfgang}, year = {2014} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_dellink_long-term_2015, title = {Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways}, issn = {0959-3780}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, author = {Dellink, Rob and Chateau, Jean and Lanzi, Elisa and Magné, Bertrand}, year = {2015}, url = {http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/13280/} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_johnson_vre_2016, title = {A reduced-form approach for representing the impacts of wind and solar PV deployment on the structure and operation of the electricity system}, author = {Johnson, Nils and Strubegger, Manfred and McPherson, Madleine and Parkinson, Simon and Krey, Volker and Sullivan, Patrick}, journal = {Energy Economics}, volume = {In Review}, year = {2016} } }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_pietzcker_solar_2014, title = {Using the sun to decarbonize the power sector: The economic potential of photovoltaics and concentrating solar power}, author = {Pietzcker, R. C. and Stetter, D. and Manger, S. and Luderer, G.}, journal = {Applied Energy}, volume = {135}, year = {2014}, pages = {704-720} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_eurek_wind_2016, title = {An improved global wind resource estimate for integrated assessment models}, author = {Eurek, K. and Sullivan, P. and Gleason, M. and Hettinger, D. and Heimiller, D.M. and Lopez, A.}, journal = {Energy Economics}, volume = {In Review}, year = {2016} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_fricko_marker_2016, title = {The marker quantification of the shared socioeconomic pathway 2: a middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century}, volume = {In press}, journal = {Global Environmental Change}, author = {Fricko, Oliver and Havlik, Petr and Rogelj, Joeri and Klimont, Zbigniew and Gusti, Mykola and Johnson, Nils and Kolp, Peter and Strubegger, Manfred and Valin, Hugo and Amann, Markus and Ermolieva, Tatiana and Forsell, Nicklas and Herrero, Mario and Heyes, Chris and Kindermann, Georg and Krey, Volker and McCollum, David L. and Obersteiner, Michael and Pachauri, Shonali and Rao, Shilpa and Schmid, Erwin and Schoepp, Wolfgang and Riahi, Keywan}, year = {2016} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_world_bank_group_world_2012, title = {World {Development} {Indicators} 2012}, isbn = {0-8213-8985-8}, publisher = {World Bank Publications}, author = Template:World Bank Group, year = {2012} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_un_population_division_world_2010, title = {World Population Projection}, author = {UN Population Division}, institution = {UN}, year = {2010} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_international_energy_agency_energy_2012, title = {Energy Balances}, author = {International Energy Agency}, institution = {International Energy Agency}, year = {2012} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_international_energy_agency_world_2014, title = {World {Energy} {Outlook} 2014}, url = {http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/weo2014/}, author = {International Energy Agency}, institution = {International Energy Agency}, year = {2014} } }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_oecd_uranium_2003,

  author = {{OECD} and {NEA}},
  title = {Uranium 2003: Resources, Production and Demand},
  institution = Template:OECD/NEA,
  number = {NEA-05291},
  month = {June},
  year = {2003},
  type = {Report}

} }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_leibowicz_growth_2015,

  author = {Benjamin D. Leibowicz},
  title = {Growth and competition in renewable energy industries: Insights from an integrated assessment model with strategic firms},
  journal = {Energy Economics},
  volume = {52, Part A},
  pages = {13 - 25},
  year = {2015},
  issn = {0140-9883},
  doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2015.09.010}

} }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_alexandratos_world_2012,

  author = {Alexandratos, Nikos and Bruinsma, Jelle},
  title = {World agriculture towards 2030/2050: the 2012 revision},
  institution = {FAO},
  number = {12-03},
  type = {ESA Working Paper},
  month = {June},
  year = {2012},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_bouwman_exploring_2005,

  author = {Bouwman, A.F. and der Hoek, K.W. Van and Eickhout, B. and Soenario, I.},
  title = {Exploring changes in world ruminant production systems},
  journal = {Agricultural Systems},
  volume = {84},
  number = {2},
  pages = {121 - 153},
  keywords = {Livestock production},
  issn = {0308-521X},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6T3W-4D1R2W8-1/2/03e2156d5e708f1dd8a94eded7badddc},
  year = {2005},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_conant_grassland_2004,

  author = {Conant, Richard T. and Paustian, Keith},
  title = {Grassland Management Activity Data: Current Sources and Future Needs},
  journal = {Environmental Management},
  volume = {33},
  number = {4},
  pages = {467-473},
  keywords = {Soil carbon sequestration Grasslands Management activity data},
  issn = {0364-152X},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00267-003-9104-7},
  year = {2004},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_environmental_protection_agency_epa_US_2012,

  author = {EPA},
  title = {US Environmental Protection Agency Global Emissions Database},
  institution = {US Environmental Protection Agency},
  url = {http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/global.html},
  year = {2012},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_food_and_agricultural_organization_fao_global_2010,

  author = {FAO},
  title = {Global Forest Resources Assessment},
  institution = {Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations},
  url = {http://www.fao.org/forestry/fra/fra2010/en/},
  year = {2010},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_fritz_highlighting_2011,

  author = {Fritz, Steffen and See, Linda and McCallum, Ian and Schill, Christian and Obersteiner, Michael and van der Velde, Marijn and Boettcher, Hannes and Havlík, Petr and Achard, Frédéric},
  title = {Highlighting continued uncertainty in global land cover maps for the user community},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {6},
  number = {4},
  pages = {044005},
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/6/i=4/a=044005},
  year = {2011},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_herrero_global_2013,

 author = {Herrero, M. and Havlik, P. and Valin, H. and Rufino, M.C. and Notenbaert, A.M.O. and Thornton, P.K. and Blummel, M. and Weiss, F. and Obertsteiner, M.},
 title = {Global livestock systems: biomass use, production, feed efficiencies and greenhouse gas emissions},

journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},

 type = {Journal Article},

volume = {110}, issn = {0027-8424}, number = {52}, year = {2013}, pages = {20888--20893} } }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_herrero_systems_2008,

  author = {Herrero, M. and Thornton, P.K. and Kruska, R. and Reid, R.S.},
  title = {Systems dynamics and the spatial distribution of methane emissions from African domestic ruminants to 2030},
  journal = {Agriculture, Ecosystems \& Environment},
  volume = {126},
  number = {1-2},
  pages = {122 - 137},
  keywords = {Methane},
  issn = {0167-8809},
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  year = {2008},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_keyzer_diet_2005,

  author = {Keyzer, M.A. and Merbis, M.D. and Pavel, I.F.P.W. and van Wesenbeeck, C.F.A.},
  title = {Diet shifts towards meat and the effects on cereal use: can we feed the animals in 2030?},
  journal = {Ecological Economics},
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  keywords = {Cereal feed demand, Dietary change, Food consumption pattern, Land use, Meat demand},
  issn = {0921-8009},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800904004100},
  year = {2005},
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} }}


{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_kindermann_global_2008,

  author = {Kindermann, G. and Obersteiner, M. and Sohngen, B. and Sathaye, J. and Andrasko, K. and Rametsteiner, E. and Schlamadinger, B. and Wunder, S. and Beach, R.},
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  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_mccarl_surplus_1980,

  author = {McCarl, Bruce A. and Spreen, Thomas H.},
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  year = {1980},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_mitchell_improved_2005,

  author = {Mitchell, Timothy D. and Jones, Philip D.},
  title = {An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {25},
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  keywords = {climate, observations, grids, homogeneity, temperature, precipitation, vapour, cloud},
  issn = {1097-0088},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1181},
  year = {2005},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_muhammad_international_2011,

  author = {Muhammad, A. and Seale, J. and Meade, B. and Regmi, A.},
  title = {International Evidence on Food Consumption Patterns: An Update Using 2005 International Comparison Program Data},
  institution = {USDA-ERS},
  number = {1929},
  type = {Technical Bulletin},
  year = {2011},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_oneill_meeting_2012,

  author = {O’Neill, B.C. and Carter, T.R. and Ebi, K.L. and Edmonds, J. and Hallegatte, S. and Kemp-Benedict, E. and Kriegler, E. and Mearns, L. and Moss, R. and Riahi, K. and van Ruijven, B. and van Vuuren, D.},
  title = {Meeting Report of the Workshop on The Nature and Use of New Socioeconomic Pathways for Climate Change Research},
  institution = {NCAR},
  month = {November 2-4, 2011},
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  year = {2012},
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} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_parton_analysis_1987,

  author = {Parton, WJ and Schimel, DS and Ojima, DS and Cole, CV},
  title = {Analysis of factors controlling soil organic matter levels in Great Plains grasslands},
  journal = {Soil Science Society of America Journal},
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} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_parton_observations_1993,

  author = {Parton, W. J. and Scurlock, J. M. O. and Ojima, D. S. and Gilmanov, T. G. and Scholes, R. J. and Schimel, D. S. and Kirchner, T. and Menaut, J. C. and Seastedt, T. and Moya, E. G. and Kamnalrut, A. and Kinyamario, J. I.},
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  volume = {7},
  pages = {785-809},
  year = {1993},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_ramankutty_farming_2008,

  author = {Ramankutty, N. and Evan, A.T. and Monfreda, C. and Foley, J.A.},
  title = {Farming the planet: 1. Geographic distribution of global agricultural lands in the year 2000},
  journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles},
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  pages = {1-19},
  issn = {0886-6236},
  year = {2008},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_reynolds_estimating_2000,

  author = {Reynolds, CA and Jackson, TJ and Rawls, WJ},
  title = {Estimating soil water-holding capacities by linking the Food and Agriculture Organization soil map of the world with global pedon databases and continuous pedotransfer functions},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {36},
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  pages = {3653-3662},
  year = {2000},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_ruesch_new_ipcc_2008,

  author = {Ruesch, Aaron and Gibbs, Holly K.},
  title = {New IPCC Tier-1 Global Biomass Carbon Map For the Year 2000},
  institution = {Oak Ridge National Laboratory},
  type = {Available online from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center},
  url = {http://cdiac.ornl.gov/epubs/ndp/global_carbon/carbon_documentation.html},
  year = {2008},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_russ_global_2007,

  author = {Russ, P. and Wiesenthal, T. and van Regemorter, D. and Ciscar, J.C.},
  title = {Global Climate Policy Scenarios for 2030 and beyond: Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Pathway Scenarios with the POLES and GEME3 Models},
  journal = {Institute for Prospective technological Studies, October},
  year = {2007},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_schloss_comparing_1999,

  author = {Schloss, A. L. and Kicklighter, D. W. and Kaduk, J. and Wittenberg, U. and (The Participants of the Potsdam NPP Model Comparison)},
  title = {Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): comparison of NPP to climate and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
  volume = {5},
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  pages = {25-34},
  keywords = {NPP, global, model, climate, NDVI, seasonal},
  issn = {1365-2486},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.1999.00004.x},
  year = {1999},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_schneider_agricultural_2007,

  author = {Schneider, Uwe A. and McCarl, Bruce A. and Schmid, Erwin},
  title = {Agricultural sector analysis on greenhouse gas mitigation in US agriculture and forestry},
  journal = {Agricultural Systems},
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  number = {2},
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  keywords = {Abatement function},
  issn = {0308-521X},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X06001028},
  year = {2007},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_seale_international_2003,

  author = {Seale, James and Regmi, Anita and Bernstein, Jason},
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  institution = {USDA-ERS},
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  type = {Technical Bulletin},
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  year = {2003},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_sere_world_1996,

  author = {Seré, C. and Steinfeld, H.},
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  institution = {Food and Agriculture Organisation},
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  year = {1996},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_skalsky_geo-bene_2008,

  author = {Skalsky, R. and Tarasovicova, Z. and Balkovic, J. and Schmid, E. and Fuchs, M. and Moltchanova, E. and Kindermann, G. and Scholtz, P.},
  title = {Geo-bene global database for bio-physical modeling v.1.0. Concepts, methodologies and data.Technical Report},
  institution = {IIASA},
  month = {accessed 13.03.09},
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  year = {2008},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_takayama_spatial_1971,

  author = {Takayama, T. and Judge, G.G.},
  title = {Spatial and temporal price and allocation models},
  publisher = {North-Holland Amsterdam},
  year = {1971},
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} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_tubiello_faostat_2013,

  author = {Tubiello, Francesco N and Salvatore, Mirella and Rossi, Simone and Ferrara, Alessandro and Fitton, Nuala and Smith, Pete},
  title = {The FAOSTAT database of greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture},
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  year = {2013},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_williams_computer_1995,

  author = {Williams, J.R. and Singh, VP},
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  journal = {Computer models of watershed hydrology},
  pages = {909-1000},
  year = {1995},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_wint_gridded_2007,

  author = {Wint, W. and Robinson, T.},
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  publisher = {FAO},
  year = {2007},
  type = {Book}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_you_entropy_2006,

  author = {You, Liangzhi and Wood, Stanley},
  title = {An entropy approach to spatial disaggregation of agricultural production},
  journal = {Agricultural Systems},
  volume = {90},
  number = {1-3},
  pages = {329 - 347},
  issn = {0308-521X},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6T3W-4JKYWM1-1/2/381253576eb09660fc9860c6c8bb8e1f},
  year = {2006},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_izaurralde_simulating_2006,

  author = {Izaurralde, R. C. and Williams, J. R. and McGill, W. B. and Rosenberg, N. J. and Jakas, M. C. Q.},
  title = {Simulating soil C dynamics with EPIC: Model description and testing against long-term data},
  journal = {Ecological Modelling},
  volume = {192},
  number = {3-4},
  pages = {362-384},
  keywords = {Climate change

Soil C model Soil carbon sequestration Tillage Water erosion Wind erosion},

  url = {http://www.scopus.com/scopus/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-31944437556&partnerID=40&rel=R8.2.0 },
  year = {2006},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @report{sauer_agriculture_2008,

  author = {Sauer, T. and Havlík, P. and Kindermann, G. and Schneider, U.A. . },
  title = {Agriculture, Population, Land and Water Scarcity in a changing World - the Role of Irrigation},
  institution = {Congress of the European Association of Agricultural Economists},
  year = {2008},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_FAO_global_2006,

  author = {FAO},
  title = {Global Forest Resources Assessment 2005. Progress towards sustainable forest management.},
  institution = {Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations},
  year = {2006},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_kindermann_global_forest_2008,

  author = {Kindermann, G. E. and McCallum, I. and Fritz, S. and Obersteiner, M.},
  title = {A global forest growing stock, biomass and carbon map based on FAO statistics},
  journal = {Silva Fennica},
  volume = {42},
  number = {3},
  pages = {387-396},
  keywords = {Biomass map

Downscaling Regression analysis},

  url = {http://www.scopus.com/scopus/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-46249088682&partnerID=40&rel=R8.2.0 },
  year = {2008},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @book{MSG-GLB_biomass_handbook_2005,

  author = {Biomass Technology Group},
  title = {Handbook Biomass Gasification},
  publisher = {H.A.M. Knoef. ISBN: 90-810068-1-9},
  year = {2005},
  type = {Book}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_rametsteiner_study_2007,

  author = {Rametsteiner, E and Nilsson, S and Böttcher, H and Havlik, P and Kraxner, F and Leduc, S and Obersteiner, M and Rydzak, F and Schneider, U and Schwab, D and Willmore, L},
  title = {Study of the Effects of Globalization on the Economic Viability of EU Forestry. Final Report of the AGRI Tender Project: AGRI-G4-2006-06 [2007]. EC Contract Number 30-CE-0097579/00-89},
  institution = {EC/IIASA},
  url = {http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/analysis/external/viability_forestry/index_en.htm},
  year = {2007},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_hamelinck_future_2001,

  author = {Hamelinck, C.N. and Faaij, A.P.C.},
  title = {Future Prospects for Production of Methanol and Hydrogen from Biomass},
  institution = {Utrecht University, Copernicus Institute, Science Technology and Society},
  year = {2001},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_leduc_optimal_2008,

  author = {Leduc, S. and Schwab, D. and Dotzauer, E. and Schmid, E. and Obersteiner, M.},
  title = {Optimal location of wood gasification plants for methanol production with heat recovery},
  journal = {International Journal of Energy Research},
  volume = {32},
  pages = {1080--1091 [2008]},
  year = {2008},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_sørensen_economies_2005,

  author = {Sørensen, A. L.},
  title = {Economies of Scale in Biomass Gasification Systems},
  institution = {IIASA },
  number = {Interim Report IR-05-030},
  year = {2005},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_carpentieri_future_1993,

  author = {Carpentieri, A. E. and Larson, E. D. and Woods, J.},
  title = {Future biomass-based electricity supply in Northeast Brazil},
  journal = {Biomass and Bioenergy},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {149-173},
  keywords = {bagasse

Biomass electricity Brazil gas turbine gasifier plantations},

  url = {http://www.scopus.com/scopus/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0027382662&partnerID=40&rel=R8.2.0 },
  year = {1993},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @report{MSG-GLB_herzogbaum_forstpflanzen_2008,

  author = {Herzogbaum, GmbH},
  title = {Forstpflanzen-Preisliste 2008. HERZOG.BAUM Samen & Pflanzen GmbH. Koaserbauerstr. 10, A - 4810 Gmunden. Austria (also available at www.energiehoelzer.at)},
  institution = {Herzogbaum GmbH},
  year = {2008},
  type = {report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_jurvélius_labor_1997,

  author = {Jurvélius, Mike},
  title = {Labor-intensive harvesting of tree plantations in the southern Philippines. Forest harvesting case -study 9. RAP Publication: 1997/41},
  institution = {Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations},
  year = {1997},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_ILO_occupational_2007,

  author = {ILO},
  title = {Occupational Wages and Hours of Work and Retail Food Prices, Statistics from the ILO October Inquiry},
  institution = {International Labor Organisation},
  year = {2007},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_FPP_holzernte_1999,

  author = {FPP},
  title = {Holzernte in der Durchforstung; Leistungszahlen Kosten - OeBF Seiltabelle Sortimentverfahren (SKM-TAB)},
  institution = {Kooperationsabkommen Forst-Platte-Papier},
  year = {1999},
  type = {Report}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_jiroušek_productivity_2007,

  author = {Jiroušek, R. and Klvač, R. and Skoupý, A.},
  title = {Productivity and costs of the mechanised cut-to-length wood harvesting system in clear-felling operations},
  journal = {Journal of Forest Science},
  volume = {53},
  number = {10},
  pages = {476-482},
  keywords = {Average tree volume

Harvester Hauling distance Payload},

  url = {http://www.scopus.com/scopus/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-35448931938&partnerID=40&rel=R8.2.0 },
  year = {2007},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_stokes_field_1986,

  author = {Stokes, B. J. and Frederick, D. J. and Curtin, D. T.},
  title = {Field trials of a short-rotation biomass feller buncher and selected harvesting systems},
  journal = {Biomass},
  volume = {11},
  number = {3},
  pages = {185-204},
  keywords = {Biomass

harvesting production yield},

  url = {http://www.scopus.com/scopus/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0022984004&partnerID=40&rel=R8.2.0 },
  year = {1986},
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{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_wang_productivity_2004,

  author = {Wang, J. and Long, C. and McNeel, J. and Baumgras, J.},
  title = {Productivity and cost of manual felling and cable skidding in central Appalachian hardwood forests},
  journal = {Forest Products Journal},
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  year = {2004},
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} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @article{MSG-GLB_hartsough_harvesting_2001,

  author = {Hartsough, B. R. and Zhang, X. and Fight, R. D.},
  title = {Harvesting cost model for small trees in natural stands in the Interior Northwest},
  journal = {Forest Products Journal},
  volume = {51},
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  year = {2001},
  type = {Journal Article}

} }}

{{#scite: |bibtex= @techreport{MSG-GLB_heston_penn_2006,

  author = {Heston, A. and Summers, R. and Aten, B.},
  title = {Penn World Table Version 6.2},
  institution = {Center for International Comparisons of Production, Income and Prices at the University of Pennsylvania. September 2006. http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/php_site/pwt62/pwt62_form.php},
  year = {2006},
  type = {Report}

} }}