Population - AIM-Hub: Difference between revisions

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'''Demography'''<br /> Future demographic change is one of the key drivers to change the demand for goods in the future, including energy and food. The production side is also affected by demographic changes through labor participation. Population and labor forces are exogenous parameters in AIM/CGE. Currently, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) population data made available by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) is used as the reference demographic assumption.
'''Demography'''<br /> Future demographic change is one of the key drivers to change the demand for goods in the future, including energy and food. The production side is also affected by demographic changes through labor participation. Population and labor forces are exogenous parameters in AIM/CGE. Currently, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) population data made available by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) is used as the reference demographic assumption.
'''Macro-economy'''<br /> The future macro-economic assumption also causes changes in the supply and demand of goods. The macroeconomic assumption is also an exogenous assumption. Usually, the change in GDP is used for the macroeconomic assumption for future scenario simulation. However, the actual outcome from the model is not exactly the same as the assumptions. Therefore, the GDP assumption is used to calculate the total factor productivity (TFP), and this is a totally exogenous parameter of the model.

Revision as of 11:41, 5 October 2016

Model Documentation - AIM-Hub

    Corresponding documentation
    Previous versions
    Model information
    Model link
    Institution National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Japan, https://www.nies.go.jp/index-e.html., Kyoto-University (Kyoto-University), Japan, https://www.kyoto-u.ac.jp/en.
    Solution concept General equilibrium (closed economy)
    Solution method Simulation
    Anticipation

    Demography
    Future demographic change is one of the key drivers to change the demand for goods in the future, including energy and food. The production side is also affected by demographic changes through labor participation. Population and labor forces are exogenous parameters in AIM/CGE. Currently, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) population data made available by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) is used as the reference demographic assumption.