Energy demand - POLES: Difference between revisions

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The energy demand in POLES is endogenously derived from the following sector-specific drivers: economic activity, end-user energy prices and policies, including time lagged effects. The modeling also considers vintage and fuel / technology subsitution constraints. All economic activity variables are endogenously derived from GDP per capita and energy prices.
Energy demand from the various end-uses (industry, buildings, transport, agriculture) is aggregated into totals that have to be supplied by the energy transformation module.


The model differentiates the following sectors:
The following energy vectors are modelled:
 
* oil
# Agriculture (economic activity: value added).
* gas
# Industry (value added and physical production), with 4 sub-sectors: Steel, Chemistry, Non-metalic minerals and Other industry; energy uses and non-energy uses of fuels are differentiated.
* coal
# Services (value added): substituable energy and captive electricity needs are differentiated
* biofuels (solid: traditional, modern; transport: liquid biofuels: transport)
# Residential (surface, occupation rate): substituable energy and captive electricity needs are differentiated
* electricity
# Transport (mobility): the model differentiates passengers and goods transport, and various transport types: car, motorbike, light duty vehicle, heavy vehicle, train, bus, plane, inland water. Road vehicles are differentiated by engine (ICE, electric, hybrids, fuel cell) and fuel (oil products, biofuels, electricity, hydrogen, gas).
* marketed heat
# In addition, own-energy uses and losses in transformation (power, synthetic fuels, ..) are explicitely considered.
* hydrogen
 
Historical data on energy demand, activity variables and fuel prices are updated at least once a year from various sources. Energy demand and prices come mostly from: Eurostat, IEA, Enerdata. Energy demand data can be available up to year-1 (for instance in 2013 some data are available up to 2012).

Revision as of 16:35, 20 October 2016

Model Documentation - POLES

Corresponding documentation
Previous versions
Model information
Model link
Institution JRC - Joint Research Centre - European Commission (EC-JRC), Belgium, http://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/.
Solution concept Partial equilibrium (price elastic demand)
Solution method SimulationRecursive simulation
Anticipation Myopic

Energy demand from the various end-uses (industry, buildings, transport, agriculture) is aggregated into totals that have to be supplied by the energy transformation module.

The following energy vectors are modelled:

  • oil
  • gas
  • coal
  • biofuels (solid: traditional, modern; transport: liquid biofuels: transport)
  • electricity
  • marketed heat
  • hydrogen
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